MOD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Modine Manufacturing Company · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

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Latest close 201.1 USD
-16.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.8%, after a -12.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 201.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -16.8% latest completed week
4W Return -12.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -26.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.18% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -16.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.9%. Indicator stack 52/15 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.18% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 15.9%. News sentiment 57/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.8%, after a -12.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.81

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.9% over four weeks, -26.4% over 12 weeks, and 50.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-16.8%
4W-12.9%
12W-26.4%
26W8.9%
52W50.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-215.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-120.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
105.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
44.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
23.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
23.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-33.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
31.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MOD shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 15.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction47/100
Expected move15.9%
Put/call volume0.23
Pressure68
Speculation42
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

25 positive · 32 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move15.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-16.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -7.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.61; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.18%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.18% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 42; Small Cap Core rank 99 SVQF11/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 903.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

MOD shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 15.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.9% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

E20 Capital Ltd Has $24.92 Million Stock Holdings in Modine Manufacturing Company $MOD Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026201.1 USD-16.8%227.5 USD124.5 USD-0.98-3.2815.3MOff
24 Jul 2026241.8 USD5.4%225.5 USD123.5 USD-1.0218.014.6MOn
17 Jul 2026229.3 USD-6.7%222.0 USD122.2 USD-0.6512.545.9MOn
10 Jul 2026245.9 USD6.5%218.9 USD121.0 USD0.1420.086.9MOn
3 Jul 2026231.0 USD-9.8%215.4 USD119.6 USD0.8415.786.3MOn
26 Jun 2026256.0 USD-13.9%213.1 USD118.4 USD1.5032.4415.2MOn
19 Jun 2026297.4 USD8.3%210.0 USD116.9 USD1.8752.235.2MOn
12 Jun 2026274.5 USD-0.7%204.8 USD115.2 USD1.7544.316.0MOn
5 Jun 2026276.5 USD-0.9%200.1 USD113.7 USD1.6448.556.4MOn
29 May 2026278.9 USD7.1%196.1 USD112.1 USD1.6748.549.6MOn
22 May 2026260.5 USD-4.0%191.9 USD110.5 USD1.6343.126.5MOn
15 May 2026271.3 USD-0.6%188.6 USD109.0 USD1.5252.645.1MOn
8 May 2026273.0 USD2.3%184.7 USD107.4 USD1.4256.314.9MOn
1 May 2026266.8 USD6.0%180.4 USD105.8 USD1.1858.965.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.