JPX Equity Snapshot

4588 Weekly Equity Report

Oncolys BioPharma Inc.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 2,467 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return -7.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Neutral

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 52 Neutral

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is weekly tape: Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.

Primary driver

Weekly tape 55/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

Main constraint

Weekly tape 55/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.9%. Trend signal Active Smoothed Trend Signal defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Market Dynamics buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Weekly tape 55/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

 Factors 50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient Capital Quiet

Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options 50/100

No current options snapshot is stored for this ticker.

 Sentiment 50/100

No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.

 Insiders 50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings 50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
Company Brief

What the company does

Oncolys BioPharma Inc. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, sale, and import of oncolytic viruses, drugs and medicines, and tumor diagnostic agents in Japan, the United States, and Asia. Its product pipeline comprises Telomelysin (OBP-301), an oncolytic viral immunotherapy which is in phase II clinical trial to treat gastric cancer; phase I clinical trial for the treatment of HCC; and treatment of esophageal cancer. The company also develops OBP-601(Censavudine), which is in phase II clinical trial to treat progressive supranuclear palsy, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, and aicardi-goutieres syndrome; OBP-702, which is in preclinical trial to treat …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

4588 closed the latest completed week at 2,467 JPY. The 4-week return is -7.9% and the 12-week return is 9.8%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.38. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 56/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 16.1%
Volume 1.5x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 97 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 41 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 38 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 63 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
570.0 JPY 60.7% 3,695 JPY
Range location 60.7% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 16.1% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap 171.8% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -33.2% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -5.6%
4W -7.9%
12W 9.8%
26W 132.5%
52W 302.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
44 weeks
52W Active Weeks
49
52W Active Breadth
94.2%
Sector Scope
JP Healthcare
Sector Rank
174 of 223
Sector Percentile
22.1%
174 of 223
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Pressure map

Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Pressure -0.38 Latest Market Dynamics read.
Pressure change -70.8% Four-week change in Market Dynamics.
Leadership 33.24 Latest Relative Strength reading.
RS change -50.3% Four-week change in Relative Strength.
Expectation Undecided 48.99% probability read.
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 1.5x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 7.5M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 8.1M 52-week average volume.
Latest 11.2M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 14
Modest gains 0
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 3
Sharp losses 9
Recent vol 8.4% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 12.4% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 28/23 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 12.5% / -7.5% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Options
-
Expected Move
-
Sentiment
-
Articles
-

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
81.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 44-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 2,467 JPY -5.6% 2,125 JPY 907.6 JPY -0.38 33.24 11.2M On
5 Jun 2026 2,614 JPY -5.5% 2,078 JPY 895.9 JPY -0.26 42.04 8.7M On
29 May 2026 2,765 JPY -1.1% 2,019 JPY 883.4 JPY -0.19 53.14 11.5M On
22 May 2026 2,797 JPY 4.4% 1,952 JPY 869.5 JPY -0.25 65.17 13.3M On
15 May 2026 2,680 JPY -8.2% 1,882 JPY 855.5 JPY -0.22 66.87 8.5M On
8 May 2026 2,918 JPY 7.4% 1,816 JPY 842.2 JPY -0.15 81.87 1.2M On
1 May 2026 2,717 JPY -8.8% 1,746 JPY 827.4 JPY -0.10 82.79 2.7M On
24 Apr 2026 2,978 JPY 4.1% 1,678 JPY 813.9 JPY -0.03 104.40 5.0M On
17 Apr 2026 2,860 JPY 14.4% 1,599 JPY 798.8 JPY 0.07 106.02 4.6M On
10 Apr 2026 2,501 JPY 10.4% 1,525 JPY 784.6 JPY 0.15 90.03 5.6M On
3 Apr 2026 2,266 JPY -3.1% 1,462 JPY 772.8 JPY 0.51 88.94 5.1M On
27 Mar 2026 2,338 JPY 4.1% 1,408 JPY 762.1 JPY 0.92 98.58 8.7M On
20 Mar 2026 2,246 JPY -16.9% 1,351 JPY 750.8 JPY 1.17 95.32 11.1M On
13 Mar 2026 2,702 JPY -14.2% 1,300 JPY 740.1 JPY 1.35 137.62 10.6M On