- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.72% based on similar historical setup states.
EGO
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Eldorado Gold Corp · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
30.19 USD
-5.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.3%, after a -10.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
30.19 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-5.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.4%.
Indicator stack
39/41
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.72%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
49/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%.
News sentiment
54/100
60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
30 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.3%, after a -10.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.4% over four weeks, -11.4% over 12 weeks, and 44.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-362.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum87/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework69/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 14.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 19.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 49.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 38.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 85.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 12.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 41.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 75.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 31.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
EGO shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.75, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume1.75
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.
20 positive · 35 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-14.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-5.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses14
Recent vol8.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -6.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank74 / 100
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth27.0%
Trend27.0%active weekly trend signals
MD22.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank18 / 29
Group average-9.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS3.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.72%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.72% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors86/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 16; Small Cap Core rank 36 SVQF69/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 310.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options58/100EGO shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.75, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.
Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) Shares Fall 7.8% -- What GF Score of 90 Tells Investors Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 30.19 USD | -5.3% | 35.40 USD | 20.80 USD | -0.53 | -14.48 | 15.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 31.88 USD | 14.1% | 35.57 USD | 20.67 USD | -0.59 | -8.46 | 11.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 27.95 USD | -7.6% | 35.74 USD | 20.52 USD | -0.67 | -19.88 | 7.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 30.24 USD | -10.2% | 35.99 USD | 20.42 USD | -0.49 | -14.44 | 9.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 33.68 USD | 7.4% | 36.13 USD | 20.29 USD | -0.60 | -3.13 | 10.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 31.36 USD | -5.1% | 36.04 USD | 20.14 USD | -0.88 | -7.40 | 16.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 33.05 USD | 7.8% | 36.04 USD | 20.00 USD | -1.03 | -4.32 | 18.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 30.66 USD | 3.6% | 35.84 USD | 19.85 USD | -1.29 | -10.08 | 14.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 29.59 USD | -12.3% | 35.74 USD | 19.72 USD | -1.22 | -12.53 | 11.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 33.75 USD | 7.9% | 35.64 USD | 19.60 USD | -0.99 | -2.54 | 9.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 31.27 USD | -1.0% | 35.37 USD | 19.44 USD | -0.92 | -8.00 | 10.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 31.59 USD | -7.3% | 35.19 USD | 19.31 USD | -0.74 | -5.95 | 15.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 34.07 USD | 14.4% | 35.07 USD | 19.17 USD | -0.67 | 2.20 | 22.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 29.79 USD | -6.9% | 34.86 USD | 19.02 USD | -0.77 | -8.10 | 26.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.