- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
FNV
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Franco-Nevada Corporation · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
214.7 USD
6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a -0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 12d.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
214.7 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.2%.
Indicator stack
44/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bearish
52/100 conviction; expected move 8.2%.
News sentiment
54/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
12d
Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a -0.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.2% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and 32.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-33.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-29.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 30.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 19.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 14.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 76.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 82.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 283.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 71.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 122.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 249.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
FNV shows bearish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction52/100
Expected move8.2%
Put/call volume3.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
8 positive · 13 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank30 / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD26.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank5 / 29
Group average-5.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS6.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 69 SVQF34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 670.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options49/100FNV shows bearish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 8.2% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
Franco-Nevada Corporation Revenue Breakdown – GETTEX:3FO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 214.7 USD | 6.9% | 233.8 USD | 158.8 USD | -1.42 | -8.86 | 4.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 200.8 USD | -2.3% | 233.9 USD | 158.4 USD | -1.33 | -15.09 | 3.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 205.5 USD | -5.5% | 234.2 USD | 158.0 USD | -1.23 | -14.31 | 2.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 217.6 USD | 1.1% | 234.5 USD | 157.6 USD | -1.08 | -7.95 | 2.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 215.1 USD | -1.9% | 234.0 USD | 157.0 USD | -1.06 | -6.86 | 4.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 219.3 USD | 4.7% | 233.8 USD | 156.5 USD | -1.15 | -7.15 | 4.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 209.5 USD | -4.0% | 232.8 USD | 156.0 USD | -1.18 | -10.40 | 7.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 218.3 USD | -5.2% | 232.4 USD | 155.6 USD | -1.08 | -6.14 | 4.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 230.2 USD | 2.0% | 231.5 USD | 155.1 USD | -1.02 | -3.39 | 2.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 225.7 USD | 0.4% | 230.0 USD | 154.5 USD | -0.99 | -3.80 | 3.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 224.9 USD | -2.9% | 228.8 USD | 154.0 USD | -0.92 | -3.23 | 5.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 231.6 USD | 2.5% | 228.0 USD | 153.5 USD | -0.83 | 0.09 | 3.6M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 226.0 USD | -6.6% | 227.1 USD | 153.0 USD | -0.64 | 0.03 | 3.5M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 241.8 USD | -7.7% | 226.9 USD | 152.5 USD | -0.40 | 8.20 | 3.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.