What the company does
Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells motorcycles in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Harley-Davidson Motor Company, LiveWire, and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. The Harley-Davidson Motor Company segment designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles, including cruiser, trike, Grand American touring, standard, sportbike, adventure touring, and dual sport, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel, as well as licenses its trademarks and related services. This segment sells its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers, as well as e-commerce channels. The LiveWire segment sells electric motorcycles, balance bikes for kids, …
What the weekly tape is saying
HOG closed the latest completed week at 12,770 ARS. The 4-week return is 2.2% and the 12-week return is 47.6%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.85. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 43/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 10,868 ARS
- Vs Trend Line
- 17.5%
- Fair Value
- 11,635 ARS
- Vs Fair Value
- 9.8%
- 52W High
- 15,520 ARS
- 52W Low
- 8,385 ARS
- Drawdown
- -17.7%
- Range Position
- 61.5%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 2 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 18
- 52W Active Breadth
- 34.6%
- Sector Scope
- AR Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Rank
- 14 of 34
- Sector Percentile
- 60.6%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
AR Consumer Cyclical
- Tracked Peers
- 34
- 4W Rank
- 21 of 34
- Avg 1W
- 2.1%
- Avg 4W
- 5.6%
- Trend Breadth
- 26.5%
- Positive MD
- 52.9%
AR Recreational Vehicles
- Tracked Peers
- 1
- 4W Rank
- 1 of 1
- Avg 1W
- 3.4%
- Avg 4W
- 2.2%
- Trend Breadth
- 100.0%
- Positive RS
- 0.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- 0.85
- 4W MD Change
- -15.4%
- Relative Strength
- -18.05
- 4W RS Change
- -1172.8%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 51.81%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 11.0K
- 13W Average
- 19.7K
- 52W Average
- 13.9K
- Vs 13W
- 0.6x
- Vs 52W
- 0.8x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 4.3%
- 52W Volatility
- 5.5%
- Upside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Weeks
- 25
- Downside Breadth
- 48.1%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 5.2% / -3.9%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- BUE
- Country
- AR
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Recreational Vehicles
- Currency
- ARS
- Market Cap
- 426.7B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
Risk signals
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 12,770 ARS | 3.4% | 10,868 ARS | 11,635 ARS | 0.85 | -18.05 | 11.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 12,350 ARS | 3.2% | 10,850 ARS | 11,590 ARS | 0.84 | -14.11 | 7.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 11,970 ARS | 1.2% | 10,861 ARS | 11,547 ARS | 0.90 | -19.09 | 2.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 11,830 ARS | -5.3% | 10,912 ARS | 11,505 ARS | 0.97 | -11.22 | 4.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 12,490 ARS | -0.5% | 11,010 ARS | 11,464 ARS | 1.01 | -1.42 | 10.2K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 12,550 ARS | 4.6% | 11,051 ARS | 11,418 ARS | 1.10 | -2.96 | 23.5K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 12,000 ARS | 3.6% | 11,067 ARS | 11,371 ARS | 1.13 | -9.21 | 10.7K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 11,580 ARS | 1.5% | 11,146 ARS | 11,328 ARS | 0.93 | -12.62 | 7.9K | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 11,410 ARS | 1.8% | 11,230 ARS | 11,289 ARS | 0.61 | -15.39 | 70.4K | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 11,210 ARS | 11.3% | 11,340 ARS | 11,253 ARS | -0.00 | -19.90 | 80.1K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 10,070 ARS | 4.7% | 11,458 ARS | 11,213 ARS | -0.65 | -28.27 | 10.2K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 9,615 ARS | 11.2% | 11,586 ARS | 11,181 ARS | -0.87 | -26.91 | 8.8K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 8,650 ARS | -0.2% | 11,703 ARS | 11,152 ARS | -1.03 | -32.91 | 10.0K | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 8,670 ARS | -7.5% | 11,838 ARS | 11,127 ARS | -1.08 | -30.98 | 4.3K | Off |