STWD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Starwood Property Trust Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

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Latest close 15.98 USD
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 15.98 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return -3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.95% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.0%. Indicator stack 13/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.95% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 43/100 conviction; expected move 3.8%. News sentiment 54/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -3.0% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.0% over four weeks, -7.3% over 12 weeks, and -10.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W-3.0%
12W-7.3%
26W-8.4%
52W-10.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-6.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value72/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth27/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
79.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
87.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
61.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
10.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
41.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-9.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

STWD shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.12, expected move of 3.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move3.8%
Put/call volume1.12
Pressure-18
Speculation41
Volatility33
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 8

5 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

12 positive · 42 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.9%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.4% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.10; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.95%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.95% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors56/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 36 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

STWD shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.12, expected move of 3.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.8% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Starwood Property Trust (NYSE:STWD) Reaches New 12-Month Low - Here's What Happened Insiders5 / 8

5 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.98 USD-3.3%17.11 USD16.91 USD-0.62-16.1017.6MOff
24 Jul 202616.52 USD-2.8%17.17 USD16.91 USD-0.45-12.8213.8MOff
17 Jul 202617.00 USD2.2%17.21 USD16.90 USD-0.30-11.2721.2MOff
10 Jul 202616.64 USD1.0%17.22 USD16.90 USD-0.49-14.9017.1MOff
3 Jul 202616.48 USD0.8%17.25 USD16.89 USD-0.59-15.1517.4MOff
26 Jun 202616.34 USD0.7%17.28 USD16.88 USD-0.65-14.6019.8MOff
19 Jun 202616.22 USD-1.8%17.31 USD16.87 USD-0.80-17.7015.7MOff
12 Jun 202616.52 USD-0.3%17.34 USD16.86 USD-0.72-16.0013.8MOff
5 Jun 202616.56 USD-0.2%17.35 USD16.84 USD-0.59-15.7817.7MOff
29 May 202616.59 USD-1.2%17.38 USD16.83 USD-0.42-18.2412.6MOff
22 May 202616.80 USD1.5%17.40 USD16.81 USD-0.12-16.5515.1MOff
15 May 202616.55 USD-4.0%17.43 USD16.79 USD0.13-17.5218.2MOff
8 May 202617.24 USD-3.0%17.46 USD16.76 USD0.35-14.4415.8MOn
1 May 202617.78 USD-2.4%17.47 USD16.73 USD0.22-10.1911.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.