- The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
AUR
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Aurora Innovation Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Latest close
6.45 USD
8.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a -2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
6.45 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
8.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.7%.
Indicator stack
60/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
49/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%.
News sentiment
53/100
64 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
29 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a -2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7612-week average 0.63
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.7% over four weeks, -8.9% over 12 weeks, and 14.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-136.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 76%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value60/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Quality59/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2917.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -4.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 4075.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -20775.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -13750.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -35.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -7.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -7.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
AUR shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction49/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.36
Insider activity10 / 10
10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.
21 positive · 33 neutral · 10 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-14.0%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+8.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank66 / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Auto Parts
4-week rank26 / 56
Group average-7.9%
Trend breadth33.9%
Trend33.9%active weekly trend signals
MD39.3%positive activity pressure
RS23.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis84/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.76; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 48 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100AUR shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.
Aurora Innovation AUR Rides Driverless Truck Momentum Insiders10 / 1010 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Research flow1 items1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.45 USD | 8.4% | 5.45 USD | 4.78 USD | -0.27 | 12.72 | 147.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.95 USD | -1.8% | 5.37 USD | 4.76 USD | -0.12 | 4.35 | 123.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.06 USD | -5.0% | 5.30 USD | 4.74 USD | 0.18 | 3.94 | 93.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.38 USD | -3.8% | 5.24 USD | 4.72 USD | 0.45 | 4.28 | 102.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.63 USD | 4.2% | 5.17 USD | 4.70 USD | 0.72 | 10.16 | 111.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.36 USD | 1.3% | 5.10 USD | 4.68 USD | 0.90 | 6.52 | 143.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.28 USD | 2.4% | 5.03 USD | 4.65 USD | 1.15 | 0.34 | 133.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.13 USD | -2.9% | 4.95 USD | 4.63 USD | 1.38 | 0.23 | 188.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.31 USD | -14.0% | 4.88 USD | 4.60 USD | 1.59 | 5.10 | 148.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.34 USD | 3.8% | 4.81 USD | 4.58 USD | 1.81 | 16.18 | 138.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.07 USD | -8.3% | 4.74 USD | 4.54 USD | 1.87 | 14.69 | 123.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.71 USD | 8.9% | 4.68 USD | 4.50 USD | 1.80 | 26.07 | 207.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.08 USD | 15.5% | 4.59 USD | 4.46 USD | 1.77 | 14.87 | 181.7M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 6.13 USD | 24.8% | 4.53 USD | 4.43 USD | 1.28 | 3.77 | 141.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.