- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 68.62% based on similar historical setup states.
PAAS
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Pan American Silver Corp. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
43.11 USD
-2.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
43.11 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-26.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.9%.
Indicator stack
45/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 68.62%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
34/100 conviction; expected move 5.6%.
News sentiment
55/100
67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -6.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.36
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.9% over four weeks, -26.9% over 12 weeks, and 61.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-91.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 14.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 43.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 43.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 51.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 19.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 34.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 308.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 81.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
PAAS shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.67, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction34/100
Expected move5.6%
Put/call volume0.67
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.
30 positive · 30 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-16.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses11
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank63 / 100
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth27.0%
Trend27.0%active weekly trend signals
MD22.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank15 / 29
Group average-9.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS3.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 68.62%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 68.62% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors89/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 38; Small Cap Core rank 64 SVQF85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 154.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100PAAS shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.67, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.6% Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.
Pan American Silver Reserves: Mining Impacts On Agriculture Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 43.11 USD | -2.1% | 53.33 USD | 28.97 USD | -1.48 | -16.17 | 16.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 44.03 USD | 5.4% | 53.59 USD | 28.78 USD | -1.44 | -13.09 | 18.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 41.77 USD | -4.4% | 53.95 USD | 28.60 USD | -1.31 | -17.72 | 18.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 43.67 USD | -5.7% | 54.28 USD | 28.43 USD | -1.22 | -15.03 | 23.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 46.29 USD | 1.8% | 54.47 USD | 28.25 USD | -1.22 | -8.46 | 16.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 45.45 USD | -7.2% | 54.40 USD | 28.04 USD | -1.25 | -7.76 | 24.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 49.00 USD | 1.8% | 54.39 USD | 27.83 USD | -1.23 | -2.44 | 23.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 48.14 USD | 1.2% | 53.97 USD | 27.61 USD | -1.13 | -2.78 | 28.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 47.58 USD | -16.5% | 53.64 USD | 27.39 USD | -0.95 | -2.90 | 23.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 56.99 USD | 5.7% | 53.20 USD | 27.18 USD | -0.70 | 13.95 | 15.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 53.94 USD | -4.0% | 52.47 USD | 26.91 USD | -0.75 | 10.51 | 28.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 56.21 USD | -4.6% | 51.87 USD | 26.65 USD | -0.77 | 17.22 | 27.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 58.94 USD | 14.1% | 51.26 USD | 26.39 USD | -0.81 | 24.58 | 29.8M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 51.63 USD | -7.5% | 50.57 USD | 26.11 USD | -0.91 | 12.79 | 24.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.