JAKK NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

JAKKS Pacific Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

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Latest close 26.33 USD
7.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 12.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 77 out of 100
Latest Close 26.33 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.5% latest completed week
4W Return 12.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.3%. Indicator stack 72/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 50/100 conviction; expected move 11.1%. News sentiment 57/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 23 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 12.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.3% over four weeks, 14.7% over 12 weeks, and 61.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.5%
4W12.3%
12W14.7%
26W47.4%
52W61.8%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change51.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change209.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-17.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-55.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

JAKK shows bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move11.1%
Put/call volume
Pressure-97
Speculation4
Volatility72
Trend agreement3
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

18 positive · 38 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings23 JulLatest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
Options expected move11.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.1%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+7.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape74/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 74/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.90; No reversal markers Factors60/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 23; Small Cap Core rank 22 SVQF55/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 330.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options26/100

JAKK shows bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 11.1% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

JAKKS Pacific (NASDAQ:JAKK) Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at Wall Street Zen Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings23 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202626.33 USD7.5%21.30 USD21.43 USD0.7124.87720.0KOn
24 Jul 202624.50 USD1.1%20.98 USD21.38 USD0.4817.48642.4KOn
17 Jul 202624.23 USD6.6%20.71 USD21.33 USD0.5814.60433.0KOn
10 Jul 202622.73 USD-3.0%20.46 USD21.28 USD0.443.12254.0KOn
3 Jul 202623.44 USD-1.9%20.24 USD21.25 USD0.478.04187.2KOn
26 Jun 202623.90 USD7.9%20.00 USD21.22 USD0.3010.91430.6KOn
19 Jun 202622.15 USD-1.6%19.74 USD21.18 USD-0.00-1.95239.2KOn
12 Jun 202622.50 USD3.9%19.50 USD21.16 USD0.091.81177.2KOn
5 Jun 202621.66 USD-1.9%19.29 USD21.14 USD0.14-0.11234.7KOn
29 May 202622.09 USD0.7%19.10 USD21.14 USD0.48-3.22224.4KOn
22 May 202621.93 USD4.0%18.91 USD21.12 USD0.78-1.56252.4KOn
15 May 202621.08 USD-8.2%18.80 USD21.12 USD0.85-4.60230.7KOn
8 May 202622.96 USD-3.5%18.72 USD21.12 USD1.043.02306.3KOn
1 May 202623.79 USD8.4%18.52 USD21.11 USD1.0412.28359.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.