- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.73% based on similar historical setup states.
BALL
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ball Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
63.84 USD
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
63.84 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.3%.
Indicator stack
22/60
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.73%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
53/100 conviction; expected move 7.2%.
News sentiment
62/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.51
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.3% over four weeks, 4.5% over 12 weeks, and 9.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change115.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change86.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength14/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework56/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 15.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 12.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 13.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 86.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 53.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
BALL shows bearish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.58, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction53/100
Expected move7.2%
Put/call volume4.58
Insider activity10 / 10
10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 17 relevant articles.
10 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth38.0%
Trend38.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Packaging & Containers
4-week rank12 / 22
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth59.1%
Trend59.1%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS59.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.73%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.73% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors26/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 54; Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 36 SVQF56/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 445.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100BALL shows bearish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.58, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 7.2% Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 17 relevant articles.
Ball Corporation (NYSE:BALL) Announces Quarterly Dividend of $0.20 Insiders10 / 1010 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 63.84 USD | 1.8% | 59.88 USD | 56.22 USD | 0.06 | 6.06 | 8.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 62.71 USD | 1.7% | 59.50 USD | 56.17 USD | 0.16 | 3.43 | 9.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 61.69 USD | -2.7% | 59.13 USD | 56.12 USD | -0.02 | -0.00 | 9.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 63.39 USD | 2.6% | 58.76 USD | 56.07 USD | -0.10 | 3.88 | 8.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 61.79 USD | 7.1% | 58.27 USD | 56.02 USD | -0.37 | 3.24 | 24.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 57.72 USD | 1.3% | 57.85 USD | 55.98 USD | -0.71 | -5.99 | 12.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 56.98 USD | 7.7% | 57.57 USD | 55.95 USD | -0.74 | -6.71 | 16.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 52.92 USD | -2.8% | 57.24 USD | 55.95 USD | -0.88 | -13.14 | 14.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 54.47 USD | -3.3% | 57.09 USD | 55.93 USD | -0.66 | -13.20 | 15.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 56.30 USD | 2.4% | 56.82 USD | 55.92 USD | -0.51 | -9.36 | 12.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 55.00 USD | -5.7% | 56.59 USD | 55.89 USD | -0.36 | -10.96 | 10.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 58.30 USD | -4.6% | 56.35 USD | 55.87 USD | -0.07 | -5.74 | 21.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 61.10 USD | 0.0% | 55.96 USD | 55.84 USD | -0.08 | 0.82 | 14.0M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 61.09 USD | -4.9% | 55.58 USD | 55.81 USD | -0.06 | 1.62 | 12.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.