BIRD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Allbirds Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

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Latest close 2.22 USD
-9.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -40.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.8%, after a -42.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 8 out of 100
Latest Close 2.22 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -9.8% latest completed week
4W Return -42.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -49.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -9.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -42.3%. Indicator stack 3/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.55% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -40.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.8%, after a -42.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -42.3% over four weeks, -49.4% over 12 weeks, and -76.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-9.8%
4W-42.3%
12W-49.4%
26W-43.2%
52W-76.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1037.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-56.71Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-50.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth62/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-90.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-64.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-31.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-162.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-35.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity3 / 3

3 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

7 positive · 37 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-90.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility20.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2619 weeks finished lower.
Best week+351.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-35.0%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-9.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses19
Recent vol20.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol51.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew31.9% / -11.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape9/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 9/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis26/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.55%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.55% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 76 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Smartbird Appoints New CEO to Advance AI Infrastructure Strategy Insiders3 / 3

3 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.22 USD-9.8%3.74 USD10.29 USD-0.66-56.711.3MOff
24 Jul 20262.46 USD-8.9%3.80 USD10.45 USD-0.42-53.451.6MOff
17 Jul 20262.70 USD-13.7%3.86 USD10.63 USD-0.17-51.641.6MOff
10 Jul 20263.13 USD-18.7%3.90 USD10.83 USD0.03-48.152.0MOff
3 Jul 20263.85 USD-12.7%3.95 USD10.97 USD0.07-37.622.6MOff
26 Jun 20264.41 USD-5.8%3.99 USD11.10 USD0.09-30.0717.2MOff
19 Jun 20264.68 USD63.1%4.01 USD11.24 USD0.10-31.0062.0MOff
12 Jun 20262.87 USD-4.4%4.00 USD11.37 USD0.07-57.781.1MOff
5 Jun 20263.00 USD-7.0%4.07 USD11.53 USD0.18-56.241.9MOff
29 May 20263.23 USD7.3%4.17 USD11.67 USD0.33-56.082.1MOff
22 May 20263.01 USD-12.9%4.37 USD11.82 USD0.51-58.622.2MOff
15 May 20263.46 USD-21.2%4.49 USD11.95 USD0.76-52.692.5MOff
8 May 20264.39 USD-13.3%4.61 USD12.08 USD1.06-41.052.8MOff
1 May 20265.07 USD-27.8%4.66 USD12.21 USD0.78-28.864.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.