ETSY NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Etsy, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

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Latest close 81.68 USD
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 81.68 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 26.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.1%. Indicator stack 66/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 12.2%. News sentiment 55/100 14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8612-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.1% over four weeks, 26.9% over 12 weeks, and 39.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W6.1%
12W26.9%
26W54.2%
52W39.0%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change32.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength64/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework50/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
26.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
27.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
45.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
51.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-0.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
9.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ETSY shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 12.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move12.2%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure48
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement52
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

4 positive · 7 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher19 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-20.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.86; 2 reversal markers Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 64 SVQF50/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 511.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

ETSY shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 12.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 12.2% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Acquires 100,542 Shares of Etsy Inc $ETSY Insiders4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202681.68 USD1.3%63.12 USD60.96 USD1.2721.4212.1MOn
24 Jul 202680.62 USD-4.1%62.31 USD60.96 USD1.3521.5211.0MOn
17 Jul 202684.10 USD3.8%61.48 USD61.08 USD1.4326.2914.3MOn
10 Jul 202681.05 USD5.3%60.49 USD61.16 USD1.4320.2711.2MOn
3 Jul 202676.97 USD-1.4%59.58 USD61.23 USD1.3916.1113.4MOn
26 Jun 202678.04 USD5.5%58.79 USD61.27 USD1.3320.6814.8MOn
19 Jun 202673.95 USD6.4%58.00 USD61.31 USD1.2812.2215.5MOn
12 Jun 202669.48 USD3.9%57.30 USD61.41 USD1.176.4912.4MOn
5 Jun 202666.86 USD-1.6%56.89 USD61.57 USD1.013.0414.6MOn
29 May 202667.92 USD8.9%56.63 USD61.73 USD0.991.6714.3MOn
22 May 202662.38 USD7.4%56.43 USD61.84 USD1.01-5.3714.2MOn
15 May 202658.07 USD-9.8%56.82 USD61.98 USD0.98-11.1315.0MOff
8 May 202664.38 USD1.9%57.23 USD62.18 USD0.98-1.3014.0MOff
1 May 202663.17 USD0.6%57.37 USD62.38 USD0.54-0.8025.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.