STLD NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Steel Dynamics Inc · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 247.1 USD
4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 81d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 247.1 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%. Indicator stack 98/36 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 10.2%. News sentiment 58/100 64 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 81d Next report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8612-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 8.0% over 12 weeks, and 90.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 49 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.9%
4W0.9%
12W8.0%
26W36.7%
52W90.7%
Active trend streak49 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-121.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership25.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change8.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength36/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
22.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
14.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
54.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-32.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

STLD shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.20, expected move of 10.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction54/100
Expected move10.2%
Put/call volume0.20
Pressure72
Speculation41
Volatility72
Trend agreement30
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

26 positive · 35 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings81dNext report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.2%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split35/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.86; 5 reversal markers Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 20 SVQF48/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 379.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

STLD shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.20, expected move of 10.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.2% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

Daido Steel (TSE:5471) Stock Price Slides As Profit Growth Meets Valuation Doubts Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings81d

Next report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026247.1 USD4.9%210.2 USD141.6 USD-0.2525.366.9MOn
17 Jul 2026235.5 USD3.1%207.8 USD140.7 USD-0.0018.615.0MOn
10 Jul 2026228.4 USD3.6%205.7 USD139.8 USD0.4211.045.3MOn
3 Jul 2026220.4 USD-10.0%203.8 USD139.0 USD0.849.625.7MOn
26 Jun 2026244.9 USD-1.8%201.9 USD138.2 USD1.1823.477.0MOn
19 Jun 2026249.3 USD-11.6%199.3 USD137.3 USD1.3020.948.5MOn
12 Jun 2026282.1 USD5.3%196.2 USD136.4 USD1.2541.484.8MOn
5 Jun 2026267.9 USD3.2%192.0 USD135.2 USD1.0838.805.1MOn
29 May 2026259.6 USD8.4%188.1 USD134.1 USD0.9929.615.7MOn
22 May 2026239.5 USD4.7%184.6 USD133.0 USD0.8324.084.9MOn
15 May 2026228.8 USD-2.5%181.7 USD132.1 USD0.8820.774.9MOn
8 May 2026234.6 USD2.5%178.8 USD131.2 USD0.7024.004.9MOn
1 May 2026228.7 USD0.9%175.7 USD130.3 USD0.3228.175.0MOn
24 Apr 2026226.8 USD13.2%172.9 USD129.4 USD-0.1029.679.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.