TJX NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The TJX Companies Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

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Latest close 154.2 USD
-0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 31/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 18d.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 154.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.51% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.8%. Indicator stack 49/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.51% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 31/100 conviction; expected move 2.8%. News sentiment 57/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 18d Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.8% over four weeks, -1.3% over 12 weeks, and 23.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.2%
4W-0.8%
12W-1.3%
26W1.2%
52W23.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.92Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-532.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-89.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength41/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
31.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
30.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
25.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TJX shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 2.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction31/100
Expected move2.8%
Put/call volume0.69
Pressure20
Speculation40
Volatility28
Trend agreement42
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

19 positive · 18 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings18dNext report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses15
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape44/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis36/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.48; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.51%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.51% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors52/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28 SVQF42/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 590.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options49/100

TJX shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 2.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.8% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

TGT or TJX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? Insiders14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings18d

Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026154.2 USD-0.2%156.3 USD121.0 USD-0.92-4.9222.2MOff
17 Jul 2026154.5 USD2.1%156.4 USD120.5 USD-0.72-5.2425.9MOff
10 Jul 2026151.3 USD-1.9%156.3 USD120.1 USD-0.40-8.4825.9MOff
3 Jul 2026154.3 USD-0.8%156.5 USD119.6 USD0.08-5.4224.3MOn
26 Jun 2026155.4 USD-5.1%156.4 USD119.1 USD0.21-2.5937.1MOn
19 Jun 2026163.8 USD-2.7%156.3 USD118.7 USD0.070.3424.6MOn
12 Jun 2026168.4 USD4.8%155.8 USD118.1 USD-0.074.2231.8MOn
5 Jun 2026160.7 USD3.9%155.0 USD117.5 USD-0.480.2027.5MOn
29 May 2026154.8 USD-2.2%154.5 USD117.0 USD-0.57-5.9030.1MOff
22 May 2026158.3 USD7.4%153.9 USD116.5 USD-0.61-2.4635.6MOff
15 May 2026147.4 USD-3.6%153.4 USD115.9 USD-0.83-8.3834.3MOff
8 May 2026152.9 USD-2.2%153.2 USD115.5 USD-0.73-5.0127.4MOn
1 May 2026156.3 USD-0.1%152.7 USD115.0 USD-0.61-0.7418.9MOn
24 Apr 2026156.5 USD-2.3%152.2 USD114.5 USD-0.550.2317.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.