CBRL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Latest close 56.39 USD
5.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 55.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 5.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 45d.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 56.39 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.0% latest completed week
4W Return 5.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 79.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 55.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 5.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.9% over four weeks, 79.1% over 12 weeks, and -2.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.0%
4W5.9%
12W79.1%
26W88.9%
52W-2.3%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-13.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership38.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change87.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
45.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
14.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
0.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-54.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-4.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CBRL shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.48, expected move of 10.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move10.3%
Put/call volume0.48
Pressure37
Speculation19
Volatility77
Trend agreement72
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 0

1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

16 positive · 38 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings45dNext report is scheduled for 16 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+38.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol10.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202656.39 USD5.0%36.26 USD48.68 USD1.4038.214.8MOn
24 Jul 202653.71 USD0.2%35.26 USD48.84 USD1.4331.404.7MOn
17 Jul 202653.61 USD6.8%34.32 USD49.04 USD1.4827.604.1MOn
10 Jul 202650.19 USD-5.8%33.39 USD49.25 USD1.5213.125.1MOn
3 Jul 202653.25 USD1.2%32.61 USD49.46 USD1.6220.334.6MOn
26 Jun 202652.60 USD11.6%31.75 USD49.65 USD1.5118.326.3MOn
19 Jun 202647.12 USD1.4%30.95 USD49.84 USD1.340.195.3MOn
12 Jun 202646.47 USD38.6%30.26 USD50.06 USD1.250.0419.6MOn
5 Jun 202633.54 USD-0.8%29.66 USD50.30 USD0.90-26.843.8MOn
29 May 202633.82 USD4.4%29.59 USD50.60 USD0.83-30.673.6MOn
22 May 202632.39 USD5.5%29.56 USD50.97 USD0.75-32.906.0MOn
15 May 202630.71 USD-2.5%29.67 USD51.34 USD0.47-36.764.9MOn
8 May 202631.49 USD1.3%29.95 USD51.78 USD0.44-36.505.1MOff
1 May 202631.09 USD5.9%30.18 USD52.16 USD0.29-34.744.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.