YUMC NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Yum China Holdings Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 43.40 USD
-1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 6.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 43.40 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return 6.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.2%. Indicator stack 25/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 35/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%. News sentiment 56/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 6.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.2% over four weeks, -10.5% over 12 weeks, and -7.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.1%
4W6.2%
12W-10.5%
26W-10.5%
52W-7.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.94Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change28.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
17.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
3.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
8.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

YUMC shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.92, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume0.92
Pressure11
Speculation41
Volatility75
Trend agreement52
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

22 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 78; Buyback Yield rank 7; Small Cap Core rank 21 SVQF75/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 256.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

YUMC shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.92, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

Empowered Funds LLC Increases Stock Position in Yum China $YUMC Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202643.40 USD-1.1%47.59 USD43.25 USD-0.94-13.447.6MOff
17 Jul 202643.87 USD2.0%47.76 USD43.33 USD-1.16-13.408.6MOff
10 Jul 202643.02 USD3.2%47.89 USD43.40 USD-1.31-16.748.2MOff
3 Jul 202641.70 USD2.1%48.05 USD43.49 USD-1.28-18.615.3MOff
26 Jun 202640.85 USD-4.8%48.19 USD43.56 USD-1.22-18.918.4MOff
19 Jun 202642.93 USD-3.8%48.40 USD43.64 USD-1.21-17.189.7MOff
12 Jun 202644.63 USD4.1%48.55 USD43.71 USD-1.20-13.4310.2MOff
5 Jun 202642.88 USD1.1%48.57 USD43.78 USD-1.34-16.627.7MOff
29 May 202642.43 USD-4.2%48.57 USD43.87 USD-1.27-19.857.7MOff
22 May 202644.27 USD-2.1%48.57 USD43.95 USD-1.12-15.569.3MOff
15 May 202645.21 USD-3.0%48.57 USD44.02 USD-1.06-13.316.3MOff
8 May 202646.59 USD-3.9%48.49 USD44.10 USD-0.96-10.776.5MOff
1 May 202648.48 USD-0.0%48.34 USD44.17 USD-0.84-5.327.4MOn
24 Apr 202648.49 USD0.5%48.11 USD44.24 USD-0.82-4.655.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.