SBUX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Starbucks Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 105.2 USD
1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 105.2 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.92% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%. Indicator stack 72/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.92% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 45/100 conviction; expected move 3.4%. News sentiment 60/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and 24.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.9%
4W0.9%
12W0.9%
26W15.9%
52W24.4%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-28.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change761.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength7/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
78.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-52.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-28.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SBUX shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 3.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move3.4%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure51
Speculation42
Volatility35
Trend agreement43
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

26 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.83; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.92%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.92% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors19/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 71 SVQF20/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 578.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

SBUX shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 3.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.4% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Starbucks Stock Up as Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Comp Sales Rise Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026105.2 USD1.9%98.60 USD89.47 USD0.274.4660.9MOn
24 Jul 2026103.2 USD-2.1%97.86 USD89.39 USD0.303.0431.1MOn
17 Jul 2026105.5 USD-0.5%97.22 USD89.33 USD0.613.4330.1MOn
10 Jul 2026106.0 USD1.7%96.61 USD89.27 USD0.47-0.5431.7MOn
3 Jul 2026104.3 USD-0.3%95.88 USD89.19 USD0.37-0.6829.3MOn
26 Jun 2026104.6 USD3.9%95.21 USD89.10 USD0.130.2442.7MOn
19 Jun 2026100.7 USD-2.3%94.59 USD89.02 USD-0.14-8.0831.2MOn
12 Jun 2026103.0 USD8.1%94.05 USD88.95 USD0.09-3.8442.4MOn
5 Jun 202695.29 USD-3.9%93.40 USD88.90 USD0.21-9.3841.4MOn
29 May 202699.16 USD-3.8%93.02 USD88.87 USD0.46-10.2932.5MOn
22 May 2026103.1 USD-3.5%92.36 USD88.83 USD0.73-4.3135.9MOn
15 May 2026106.8 USD2.4%91.74 USD88.75 USD0.530.1037.9MOn
8 May 2026104.3 USD-0.9%90.97 USD88.69 USD0.32-2.6734.3MOn
1 May 2026105.3 USD7.3%90.06 USD88.66 USD0.133.4657.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.