- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.58% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
CCL1N
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Carnival Corporation Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Latest close
485.9 MXN
9.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
485.9 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
9.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
9.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.8%.
Indicator stack
15/44
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.58%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.8% over four weeks, 6.8% over 12 weeks, and -11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-90.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+9.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank63 / 97
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth25.8%
Trend25.8%active weekly trend signals
MD53.6%positive activity pressure
RS27.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Travel Services
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis26/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.58%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.58% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Carnival Corporation Stock: Is CCL Outperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 485.9 MXN | 9.2% | 488.6 MXN | 408.0 MXN | 0.08 | -7.09 | 863 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 445.0 MXN | -3.3% | 491.0 MXN | 406.8 MXN | 0.23 | -14.69 | 290 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 460.0 MXN | -2.1% | 494.5 MXN | 405.9 MXN | 0.50 | -12.76 | 4.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 470.0 MXN | -4.1% | 497.8 MXN | 404.9 MXN | 0.72 | -11.31 | 4.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 490.0 MXN | -2.0% | 498.9 MXN | 403.7 MXN | 0.81 | -8.84 | 8.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 500.0 MXN | -7.2% | 498.2 MXN | 402.7 MXN | 0.61 | -7.73 | 15 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 539.0 MXN | 7.5% | 497.3 MXN | 401.5 MXN | 0.43 | -1.60 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 501.2 MXN | 5.7% | 495.7 MXN | 399.8 MXN | 0.02 | -8.87 | 1.5K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 474.2 MXN | -3.2% | 495.5 MXN | 398.3 MXN | -0.42 | -11.41 | 460 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 490.0 MXN | 8.3% | 495.8 MXN | 396.7 MXN | -0.60 | -11.88 | 500 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 452.5 MXN | 5.8% | 497.2 MXN | 394.9 MXN | -0.70 | -18.45 | 860 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 427.9 MXN | -6.0% | 500.2 MXN | 393.3 MXN | -0.68 | -22.61 | 1.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 455.1 MXN | -3.9% | 503.3 MXN | 391.8 MXN | -0.51 | -20.19 | 1.1K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 473.3 MXN | 2.0% | 505.2 MXN | 390.0 MXN | -0.55 | -14.65 | 970 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.