MSB NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mesabi Trust · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 22.50 USD
-7.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.8%, after a -9.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 52d.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 22.50 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.8% latest completed week
4W Return -9.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -19.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.1%. Indicator stack 32/30 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 16.4%. News sentiment 48/100 37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 52d Next report is scheduled for 21 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.8%, after a -9.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.1% over four weeks, -19.8% over 12 weeks, and -21.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.8%
4W-9.1%
12W-19.8%
26W-35.6%
52W-21.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-26.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality36/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
96.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
92.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
95806000.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-84.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-87.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
15403726.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MSB shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move16.4%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation6
Volatility87
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

8 positive · 18 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings52dNext report is scheduled for 21 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-7.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 62 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

MSB shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 16.4% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

Mesabi Trust To Go Ex-Dividend On July 30th, 2026 With 0.05 USD Dividend Per Share Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings52d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202622.50 USD-7.8%29.70 USD21.92 USD-1.10-32.09280.0KOff
17 Jul 202624.40 USD-2.8%30.16 USD21.85 USD-1.06-27.25175.3KOff
10 Jul 202625.10 USD-1.9%30.48 USD21.78 USD-1.06-26.56168.8KOff
3 Jul 202625.59 USD3.4%30.78 USD21.70 USD-1.00-24.30172.4KOff
26 Jun 202624.75 USD-0.1%31.00 USD21.63 USD-1.01-25.35274.0KOff
19 Jun 202624.78 USD-4.3%31.25 USD21.56 USD-1.06-27.22198.4KOff
12 Jun 202625.88 USD5.2%31.42 USD21.49 USD-1.03-23.46217.7KOff
5 Jun 202624.59 USD-6.8%31.70 USD21.43 USD-1.02-27.08207.9KOff
29 May 202626.38 USD3.6%32.02 USD21.36 USD-1.00-24.05287.2KOff
22 May 202625.46 USD-10.1%32.26 USD21.28 USD-1.09-25.85462.0KOff
15 May 202628.31 USD-2.7%32.56 USD21.20 USD-1.13-17.15534.7KOff
8 May 202629.11 USD3.7%32.63 USD21.10 USD-1.20-14.76128.3KOff
1 May 202628.06 USD4.7%32.66 USD21.00 USD-1.15-16.04195.2KOff
24 Apr 202626.80 USD-10.8%32.78 USD20.92 USD-1.12-19.37296.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.