HGV NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

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Latest close 46.14 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -12.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 46.14 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return -12.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.8%. Indicator stack 77/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 14.9%. News sentiment 52/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -12.8% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.62

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.8% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and 3.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W-12.8%
12W-5.2%
26W2.3%
52W3.7%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-90.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-223.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth66/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework77/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
56.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
25.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-7.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
14.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
14.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

HGV shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.31, expected move of 14.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move14.9%
Put/call volume0.31
Pressure63
Speculation18
Volatility95
Trend agreement28
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 10

8 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

15 positive · 37 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move14.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; 2 reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 19 SVQF77/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 234.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options42/100

HGV shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.31, expected move of 14.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 14.9% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why Insiders8 / 10

8 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202646.14 USD-5.6%47.06 USD42.21 USD0.13-6.947.3MOn
24 Jul 202648.89 USD-2.1%47.04 USD42.20 USD0.48-0.624.5MOn
17 Jul 202649.94 USD-1.0%46.92 USD42.18 USD0.950.465.5MOn
10 Jul 202650.42 USD-4.7%46.77 USD42.16 USD1.19-0.375.1MOn
3 Jul 202652.91 USD-3.3%46.55 USD42.14 USD1.335.625.0MOn
26 Jun 202654.69 USD3.7%46.20 USD42.09 USD1.3711.498.3MOn
19 Jun 202652.73 USD3.8%45.81 USD42.03 USD1.205.135.7MOn
12 Jun 202650.78 USD2.1%45.35 USD41.98 USD1.042.286.2MOn
5 Jun 202649.74 USD-4.4%44.97 USD41.95 USD0.670.869.0MOn
29 May 202652.02 USD7.5%44.64 USD41.92 USD0.442.833.9MOn
22 May 202648.41 USD7.9%44.29 USD41.89 USD0.32-2.824.4MOn
15 May 202644.86 USD-7.8%44.18 USD41.87 USD0.15-9.203.2MOn
8 May 202648.67 USD5.9%44.14 USD41.87 USD0.25-1.594.0MOn
1 May 202645.94 USD-0.4%43.88 USD41.82 USD0.07-5.025.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.