What the company does
Meritage Homes Corporation designs and builds single-family homes in the United States. The company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
What the weekly tape is saying
MTH closed the latest completed week at 74.44 USD. The 4-week return is 25.8% and the 12-week return is 26.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.01. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 53/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 68.58 USD
- Vs Trend Line
- 8.5%
- Fair Value
- 73.68 USD
- Vs Fair Value
- 1.0%
- 52W High
- 83.11 USD
- 52W Low
- 58.03 USD
- Drawdown
- -10.4%
- Range Position
- 65.4%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 9
- 52W Active Breadth
- 17.3%
- Sector Scope
- US Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Rank
- 127 of 538
- Sector Percentile
- 76.5%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
US Consumer Cyclical
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- 3.4%
- Avg 4W
- 6.2%
- Trend Breadth
- 35.0%
- Positive MD
- 45.0%
US Residential Construction
- Tracked Peers
- 20
- 4W Rank
- 5 of 20
- Avg 1W
- 2.9%
- Avg 4W
- 18.6%
- Trend Breadth
- 10.0%
- Positive RS
- 10.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.01
- 4W MD Change
- 98.4%
- Relative Strength
- -3.42
- 4W RS Change
- 85.7%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 50.69%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 5.5M
- 13W Average
- 4.6M
- 52W Average
- 4.6M
- Vs 13W
- 1.2x
- Vs 52W
- 1.2x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 5.3%
- 52W Volatility
- 5.3%
- Upside Weeks
- 27
- Downside Weeks
- 25
- Downside Breadth
- 48.1%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.7% / -4.1%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Country
- US
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Residential Construction
- Currency
- USD
- Market Cap
- 4.4B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 74.44 USD | 8.9% | 68.58 USD | 73.68 USD | -0.01 | -3.42 | 5.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 68.33 USD | 4.7% | 68.30 USD | 73.60 USD | -0.61 | -10.94 | 4.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 65.24 USD | 1.6% | 68.22 USD | 73.56 USD | -0.77 | -17.29 | 2.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 64.23 USD | 8.6% | 68.27 USD | 73.51 USD | -0.68 | -17.69 | 3.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 59.17 USD | -9.2% | 68.47 USD | 73.46 USD | -0.51 | -23.83 | 3.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 65.16 USD | -1.8% | 68.81 USD | 73.45 USD | -0.40 | -16.47 | 5.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 66.34 USD | -4.0% | 68.82 USD | 73.41 USD | -0.46 | -13.44 | 4.7M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 69.07 USD | 1.5% | 69.07 USD | 73.37 USD | -0.63 | -9.48 | 6.0M | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 68.07 USD | 2.3% | 69.15 USD | 73.31 USD | -0.83 | -10.71 | 3.9M | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 66.55 USD | 7.1% | 69.36 USD | 73.26 USD | -0.81 | -9.19 | 4.5M | Off |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 62.16 USD | 3.6% | 69.72 USD | 73.20 USD | -0.79 | -12.44 | 3.2M | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 60.00 USD | 2.1% | 70.35 USD | 73.15 USD | -0.58 | -13.20 | 4.5M | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 58.76 USD | -6.2% | 70.89 USD | 73.12 USD | -0.19 | -17.33 | 8.2M | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 62.61 USD | -6.8% | 71.55 USD | 73.09 USD | 0.15 | -13.99 | 5.0M | Off |