Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 601-630 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
AQN NYSE · Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
6.74
Reversal Risk Warning
17.59%
Entry 9 May 2025 5.73
13 Feb 2026
Entry
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
8.29
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.07 · ROC 1.36% · RS 3.99
13 Feb 2026
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
14.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.53 · ROC 2.34% · RS 9.47
13 Feb 2026
Entry
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
25.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.08 · ROC 1.73% · RS 3.24
13 Feb 2026
Entry
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
11.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.48 · ROC 9.49% · RS 17.85
13 Feb 2026
Entry
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
3.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.94 · ROC 10.47% · RS 16.31
13 Feb 2026
Exit
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
36.46
20% entry drawdown
-24.11%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 48.04
13 Feb 2026
Entry
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
4.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.38 · ROC 11.41% · RS 78.73
13 Feb 2026
Exit
CPS NYSE · Cooper Stnd
45.20
Reversal Risk Warning
261.60%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 12.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
4.24
20% entry drawdown
-22.91%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 5.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
DG NYSE · Dollar General Corporation
153.09
Reversal Risk Warning
54.08%
Entry 23 May 2025 99.36
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ECL NYSE · Ecolab Inc
297.58
Reversal Risk Warning
87.34%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 158.84
13 Feb 2026
Exit
EPAM NYSE · EPAM Systems Inc
166.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.50%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 211.93
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
45.73
20% entry drawdown
-24.92%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 60.91
13 Feb 2026
Entry
EU NASDAQ · enCore Energy Corp. Common Shares
2.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 15.66 · ROC 0.69% · RS 1.40
13 Feb 2026
Exit
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
26.26
20% entry drawdown
-21.84%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 33.59
13 Feb 2026
Entry
FEBO NASDAQ · Fenbo Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1.15
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 35.86 · ROC 0.58% · RS 3.10
13 Feb 2026
Entry
FLNT NASDAQ · Fluent Inc
3.12
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 97.61 · ROC 8.77% · RS 24.48
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GPRO NASDAQ · GoPro Inc
0.86
20% entry drawdown
-28.95%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 1.21
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GTES NYSE · Gates Industrial Corporation plc
27.97
Reversal Risk Warning
114.82%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 13.02
13 Feb 2026
Entry
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
54.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.34 · ROC 0.66% · RS 0.70
13 Feb 2026
Entry
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
13.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.01 · ROC 2.12% · RS 7.55
13 Feb 2026
Entry
HZO NYSE · MarineMax Inc
29.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.42 · ROC 1.20% · RS 8.63
13 Feb 2026
Exit
IPGP NASDAQ · IPG Photonics Corporation
153.91
Reversal Risk Warning
87.33%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 82.16
13 Feb 2026
Entry
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
2.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.97 · ROC 4.26% · RS 4.10
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MGA NYSE · Magna International Inc
67.64
Reversal Risk Warning
56.64%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 43.18
13 Feb 2026
Entry
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
146.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.72 · ROC 1.20% · RS 9.80
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
11.97
20% entry drawdown
-33.00%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 17.86
13 Feb 2026
Entry
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
9.03
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.65 · ROC 1.72% · RS 0.35
13 Feb 2026
Exit
OGI NASDAQ · OrganiGram Holdings Inc
1.29
20% entry drawdown
-25.43%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 1.73