Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 91-120 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
5.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.40 · ROC 0.63% · RS 0.59
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
29.18
Reversal Risk Warning
1152.36%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 2.33
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
22.12
20% entry drawdown
-20.99%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 28.00
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CPAC NYSE · Cementos Pacasmayo SAA ADR
12.70
Reversal Risk Warning
230.24%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 3.85
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
8.95
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 99.41 · ROC 6.63% · RS 0.92
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DIOD NASDAQ · Diodes Incorporated
119.46
Reversal Risk Warning
93.02%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 61.89
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FTDR NASDAQ · Frontdoor Inc
71.56
Reversal Risk Warning
178.01%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 25.74
19 Jun 2026
Entry
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
5.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.69 · ROC 8.79% · RS 44.27
19 Jun 2026
Entry
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
2.57
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.88 · ROC 0.52% · RS 5.58
19 Jun 2026
Entry
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
3.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.68 · ROC 6.39% · RS 36.31
19 Jun 2026
Exit
MCY NYSE · Mercury General Corporation
102.67
Reversal Risk Warning
194.43%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 34.87
19 Jun 2026
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
15.67
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 12.62 · ROC 4.59% · RS 0.14
19 Jun 2026
Entry
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.30 · ROC 6.61% · RS 5.97
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ORN NYSE · Orion Group Holdings Inc
15.89
Reversal Risk Warning
378.61%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 3.32
19 Jun 2026
Entry
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
10.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.52 · ROC 13.67% · RS 48.31
19 Jun 2026
Exit
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 0.79
19 Jun 2026
Entry
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
46.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.62 · ROC 2.06% · RS 0.67
19 Jun 2026
Exit
PRM NYSE · Perimeter Solutions SA
37.78
Reversal Risk Warning
409.16%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 7.42
19 Jun 2026
Entry
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
4.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.23 · ROC 3.42% · RS 1.46
19 Jun 2026
Exit
STX NASDAQ · Seagate Technology PLC
1069.43
Reversal Risk Warning
1556.21%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 64.57
19 Jun 2026
Entry
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
6.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.02 · ROC 5.15% · RS 12.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
4.40
20% entry drawdown
-33.03%
Entry 29 May 2026 6.57
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TSM NYSE · Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
462.12
Reversal Risk Warning
452.04%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 83.71
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VIRT NYSE · Virtu Financial, Inc.
63.07
Reversal Risk Warning
231.19%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 19.04
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VSH NYSE · Vishay Intertechnology Inc
64.90
Reversal Risk Warning
249.25%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 18.58
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WDC NASDAQ · Western Digital Corporation
746.23
Reversal Risk Warning
2057.76%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 34.58
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WLK NYSE · Westlake Chemical Corporation
80.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.73%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 102.57
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WWD NASDAQ · Woodward Inc
430.08
Reversal Risk Warning
347.36%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 96.14
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
1.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.21 · ROC 4.07% · RS 9.75
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AMTX NASDAQ · Aemetis Inc
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-26.87%
Entry 22 May 2026 2.68