Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23
Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969
Avg 1416.8/yr ·
118.1/mo ·
27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.6%
· Other 0.1%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92
4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42
6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18
4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21
4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S
NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88
6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29
8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22
7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92
20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR
NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69
20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56
20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL
NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24
20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX
NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14
20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL
NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown · -25.57%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New
Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR
NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE
NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX
NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New
Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO
NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA
NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART
NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA
NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP
NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New
Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF
NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX
NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
29 Mar 2024
Entry
ARQT
NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
9.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 86.37 · ROC 5.16% · RS 11.24
29 Mar 2024
Exit
ATOS
NASDAQ · Atossa Genetics Inc
27.00
Reversal Risk Warning
39.53%
Entry 15 Mar 2024
19.35
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BALL
NYSE · Ball Corporation
65.27
Reversal Risk Warning
8.83%
Entry 16 Feb 2024
59.98
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BBWI
NYSE · Bath & Body Works Inc.
46.71
Reversal Risk Warning
18.37%
Entry 26 Jan 2024
39.46
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BCAB
NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
172.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 51.58 · ROC 1.28% · RS 13.04
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BHC
NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
10.61
Reversal Risk Warning
10.98%
Entry 22 Mar 2024
9.56
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BLIN
NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
1.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 80.83 · ROC 2.22% · RS 4.87
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BPYPP
NASDAQ · Brookfield Property Partners LP
12.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 81.86 · ROC 1.06% · RS 0.97
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BYSI
NASDAQ · BeyondSpring Inc
3.57
Reversal Risk Warning
138.00%
Entry 1 Mar 2024
1.50
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CDNA
NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
10.59
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 41.30 · ROC 2.40% · RS 1.23
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CMCM
NYSE · Cheetah Mobile Inc
3.01
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 89.28 · ROC 2.51% · RS 17.32
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CNTX
NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 24.21 · ROC 1.89% · RS 11.06
29 Mar 2024
Exit
CPIX
NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
2.24
29 Mar 2024
Exit
DLO
NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
13.80
20% entry drawdown
-22.10%
Entry 22 Sep 2023
17.72
29 Mar 2024
Exit
FEMY
NASDAQ · Femasys Inc
31.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.02%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
40.80
29 Mar 2024
Exit
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
40.19
Reversal Risk Warning
142.11%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
16.60
29 Mar 2024
Entry
GLUE
NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
7.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 70.95 · ROC 1.49% · RS 4.82
29 Mar 2024
Entry
IMRN
NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
2.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 73.45 · ROC 7.55% · RS 11.73
29 Mar 2024
Exit
INO
NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
13.88
Reversal Risk Warning
45.34%
Entry 1 Mar 2024
9.55
29 Mar 2024
Entry
JBLU
NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 97.96 · ROC 2.46% · RS 1.16
29 Mar 2024
Entry
JVA
NASDAQ · Coffee Holding Co Inc
1.54
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 89.42 · ROC 1.27% · RS 6.85
29 Mar 2024
Exit
KSS
NYSE · Kohl's Corporation
25.30
Reversal Risk Warning
12.41%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
22.51
29 Mar 2024
Entry
LPCN
NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
5.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 62.02 · ROC 0.32% · RS 13.92
29 Mar 2024
Entry
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
13.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 87.78 · ROC 1.66% · RS 0.03
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NKTR
NASDAQ · Nektar Therapeutics
14.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 98.38 · ROC 4.09% · RS 23.78
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NVNO
NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
190.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 66.72 · ROC 2.94% · RS 1.91
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NYXH
NASDAQ · Nyxoah
13.49
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 76.40 · ROC 13.09% · RS 39.83
29 Mar 2024
Entry
PRM
NYSE · Perimeter Solutions SA
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 90.25 · ROC 2.37% · RS 17.80
29 Mar 2024
Entry
REAL
NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
3.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 88.73 · ROC 6.50% · RS 63.86
29 Mar 2024
Exit
RNTX
NASDAQ · Rein Therapeutics Inc
6.63
Reversal Risk Warning
117.48%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
3.05