Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21
Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001
Avg 1418.2/yr ·
118.2/mo ·
27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.3%
· Other 0.4%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ACCO
NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08
8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN
NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44
4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14
4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54
8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58
8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82
4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48
4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43
4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30
5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16
4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74
20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53
20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42
20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08
20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN
NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14
20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN
NYSE · Valens
1.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.62%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.98
22.87%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.58
0.63%
6
41.60
1.63%
2.87
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.90
26.13%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.13
3.36%
6
43.38
1.89%
15.19
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.82
10.65%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
29.90
15.18%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.10
-16.67%
5
81.22
16.22%
55.51
GFR
NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
6.35
10.63%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.72
15.48%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.81
-12.95%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
19.23
80.73%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.96
-13.88%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE
NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.10
-5.89%
5
72.74
5.26%
17.71
HLX
NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.58
20.65%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.12
21.51%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
17 Jul 202626.58
26.58
New
Entry week
8
56.36
2.03%
3.60
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.72
3.56%
4
86.04
3.64%
4.60
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.11
5.58%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HURA
NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.25
-12.45%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.63
11.47%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.25
29.34%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART
NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
19.25
2.61%
4
96.32
6.21%
25.99
IBTA
NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
31.55
-7.88%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP
NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.15
-4.96%
4
1.25
1.78%
2.44
IFF
NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
78.20
10.70%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX
NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
1.86
15.94%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS
NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.15
115.04%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR
NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.47
15.98%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX
NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
4.64
14.29%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
4 Aug 2023
Entry
GP
NASDAQ · GreenPower Motor Company Inc
40.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 88.86 · ROC 10.90% · RS 22.90
4 Aug 2023
Exit
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
3.42
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 7 Jul 2023
4.56
4 Aug 2023
Entry
GYRE
NASDAQ · Gyre Therapeutics Inc.
4.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 80.92 · ROC 5.15% · RS 1.36
4 Aug 2023
Entry
HFFG
NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
5.30
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 95.70 · ROC 3.55% · RS 1.42
4 Aug 2023
Exit
LASR
NASDAQ · nLIGHT Inc
11.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.63%
Entry 16 Jun 2023
15.29
4 Aug 2023
Exit
LMND
NYSE · Lemonade Inc
17.13
20% entry drawdown
-26.70%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
23.37
4 Aug 2023
Exit
MESO
NASDAQ · Mesoblast Ltd
3.28
20% entry drawdown
-55.19%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
7.32
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MRKR
NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
5.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 84.53 · ROC 18.20% · RS 42.08
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MUX
NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
7.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 19.78 · ROC 4.22% · RS 13.35
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MVST
NASDAQ · Microvast Holdings Inc
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 93.42 · ROC 8.06% · RS 11.71
4 Aug 2023
Entry
NCLH
NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
17.95
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 65.04 · ROC 6.19% · RS 4.93
4 Aug 2023
Exit
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
5.27
Reversal Risk Warning
27.29%
Entry 7 Jul 2023
4.14
4 Aug 2023
Entry
RH
NYSE · RH
392.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 93.66 · ROC 5.49% · RS 26.17
4 Aug 2023
Exit
SOPH
NASDAQ · Sophia Genetics SA
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-22.39%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
4.69
4 Aug 2023
Exit
T
NYSE · AT&T Inc.
12.11
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
15.44
4 Aug 2023
Exit
TMC
NASDAQ · TMC the metals company Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
1.45
4 Aug 2023
Exit
U
NYSE · Unity Software Inc
40.17
Reversal Danger Warning
-9.71%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
44.49
4 Aug 2023
Exit
VRCA
NASDAQ · Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc
52.50
20% entry drawdown
-26.06%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
71.00
4 Aug 2023
Exit
VRM
NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
164.80
Reversal Danger Warning
-3.29%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
170.40
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ANSS
NASDAQ · ANSYS Inc
338.23
Reversal Risk Warning
14.26%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
296.03
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ARAY
NASDAQ · Accuray Incorporated
4.20
Reversal Risk Warning
47.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
2.85
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BDTX
NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
3.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
4.50
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BIDU
NASDAQ · Baidu Inc
155.36
Reversal Risk Warning
5.80%
Entry 17 Mar 2023
146.84
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
35.43
Reversal Risk Warning
142.17%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
14.63
28 Jul 2023
Exit
CLB
NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
25.90
Reversal Risk Warning
9.53%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
23.64
28 Jul 2023
Entry
CRDL
NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
1.09
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 70.08 · ROC 6.44% · RS 18.50
28 Jul 2023
Entry
DLR
NYSE · Digital Realty Trust Inc
111.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 95.73 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.60
28 Jul 2023
Exit
DMRA
NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
75.50
Reversal Risk Warning
24.28%
Entry 19 May 2023
60.75
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ETON
NASDAQ · Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.55
20% entry drawdown
-27.14%
Entry 13 Jan 2023
3.50
28 Jul 2023
Entry
EVGN
NASDAQ · Evogene
10.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 96.13 · ROC 8.63% · RS 3.57