Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
284
Transactions
4970 Avg 1417.1/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.4% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
9
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 284 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1081-1110 of 4970
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Oct 2025
Exit
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
21.68
Reversal Risk Warning
150.35%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 8.66
24 Oct 2025
Entry
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.16 · ROC 4.21% · RS 15.71
24 Oct 2025
Entry
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
1.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.18 · ROC 16.90% · RS 24.71
24 Oct 2025
Exit
PEGA NASDAQ · Pegasystems Inc
66.19
Reversal Risk Warning
200.04%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 22.06
24 Oct 2025
Entry
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
3.90
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 31.95 · ROC 1.35% · RS 6.69
24 Oct 2025
Exit
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
20.85
Reversal Risk Warning
49.78%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 13.92
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SHOP NASDAQ · Shopify Inc
172.95
Reversal Risk Warning
327.25%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 40.48
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
3.05
20% entry drawdown
-31.00%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 4.42
24 Oct 2025
Entry
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
1.49
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 41.00 · ROC 3.03% · RS 2.85
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
17.09
Reversal Risk Warning
101.89%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 8.47
24 Oct 2025
Entry
VTVT NASDAQ · vTv Therapeutics Inc
20.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 53.55 · ROC 4.36% · RS 2.94
24 Oct 2025
Exit
YQ NASDAQ · 17 Education Technology Group Inc
6.20
Reversal Risk Warning
168.40%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.31
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ABTS NASDAQ · Abits Group Inc.
6.29
20% entry drawdown
-24.67%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 8.35
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
15.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.20 · ROC 1.83% · RS 3.15
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
4.20
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 52.97 · ROC 2.01% · RS 14.54
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
10.95
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 39.14 · ROC 2.88% · RS 12.55
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AQST NASDAQ · Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
7.08
Reversal Risk Warning
190.16%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 2.44
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ARBE NASDAQ · Arbe Robotics Ltd
2.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.46 · ROC 5.81% · RS 7.87
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AVAH NASDAQ · Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
9.86
Reversal Risk Warning
276.34%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.62
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CABA NASDAQ · Cabaletta Bio Inc
2.85
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 91.50 · ROC 5.57% · RS 16.27
17 Oct 2025
Exit
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.94
20% entry drawdown
-23.92%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.55
17 Oct 2025
Exit
CRML NASDAQ · Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares
20.86
Reversal Risk Warning
235.37%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 6.22
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
11.27
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 38.02 · ROC 1.86% · RS 1.57
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CVV NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 30.72 · ROC 1.71% · RS 5.33
17 Oct 2025
Entry
GDEV NASDAQ · GDEV Inc.
22.27
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.48 · ROC 12.10% · RS 13.90
17 Oct 2025
Entry
IQV NYSE · IQVIA Holdings Inc
204.55
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 73.47 · ROC 0.74% · RS 1.03
17 Oct 2025
Exit
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
5.77
Reversal Risk Warning
124.51%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.57
17 Oct 2025
Entry
PDFS NASDAQ · PDF Solutions Inc
27.47
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 81.54 · ROC 2.95% · RS 1.24
17 Oct 2025
Entry
PEPG NASDAQ · PepGen Ltd
4.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.77 · ROC 22.40% · RS 66.81
17 Oct 2025
Entry
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
4.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.42 · ROC 8.28% · RS 40.47