Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1591-1620 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Jul 2025
Entry
QXO NYSE · QXO, Inc.
21.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.65 · ROC 4.45% · RS 11.83
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SNT NASDAQ · Senstar Technologies Ltd
5.04
Reversal Risk Warning
250.00%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 1.44
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
2.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.27 · ROC 2.34% · RS 9.39
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
1.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.50 · ROC 4.16% · RS 3.04
4 Jul 2025
Exit
UBER NYSE · Uber Technologies Inc
93.63
Reversal Risk Warning
172.97%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 34.30
4 Jul 2025
Entry
VSAT NASDAQ · ViaSat Inc
16.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.24 · ROC 7.64% · RS 25.12
27 Jun 2025
Entry
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
15.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.06 · ROC 3.72% · RS 23.38
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
8.59
20% entry drawdown
-20.46%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 10.80
27 Jun 2025
Entry
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
23.94
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 67.56 · ROC 5.55% · RS 1.20
27 Jun 2025
Exit
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
5.51
20% entry drawdown
-22.83%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 7.14
27 Jun 2025
Entry
DOUG NYSE · Douglas Elliman Inc
2.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.14 · ROC 2.52% · RS 15.62
27 Jun 2025
Entry
INDV NASDAQ · Indivior PLC Ordinary Shares
13.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.31 · ROC 4.27% · RS 13.66
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ITRI NASDAQ · Itron Inc
132.46
Reversal Risk Warning
126.93%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 58.37
27 Jun 2025
Entry
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
2.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.42 · ROC 21.21% · RS 98.62
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NWGL NASDAQ · Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-39.41%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.70
27 Jun 2025
Exit
OLLI NASDAQ · Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
132.80
Reversal Risk Warning
103.52%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 65.25
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RDWR NASDAQ · Radware Ltd
29.17
Reversal Risk Warning
43.77%
Entry 31 May 2024 20.29
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SPOT NYSE · Spotify Technology SA
772.60
Reversal Risk Warning
502.18%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 128.30
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SPRY NASDAQ · ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc
18.20
Reversal Risk Warning
98.69%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 9.16
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
13.18
20% entry drawdown
-26.29%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 17.88
27 Jun 2025
Entry
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
4.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 11.97 · ROC 1.46% · RS 7.05
27 Jun 2025
Entry
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
4.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.05 · ROC 3.08% · RS 5.46
27 Jun 2025
Exit
UPXI NASDAQ · Upexi Inc.
2.60
20% entry drawdown
-75.66%
Entry 23 May 2025 10.68
27 Jun 2025
Exit
WDI NYSE · Western Asset Diversified Income Fund
13.19
Reversal Risk Warning
42.02%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 9.29
27 Jun 2025
Entry
YQ NASDAQ · 17 Education Technology Group Inc
2.31
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 28.76 · ROC 1.42% · RS 4.90
27 Jun 2025
Exit
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
10.36
Reversal Risk Warning
142.62%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.27
20 Jun 2025
Exit
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-21.97%
Entry 9 May 2025 1.32
20 Jun 2025
Exit
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
4.08
20% entry drawdown
-30.26%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 5.85
20 Jun 2025
Entry
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
67.05
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 53.28 · ROC 2.66% · RS 0.22
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
10.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 56.21 · ROC 1.21% · RS 30.30