Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23
Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969
Avg 1416.8/yr ·
118.1/mo ·
27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.6%
· Other 0.1%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92
4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42
6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18
4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21
4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S
NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88
6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29
8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22
7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92
20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR
NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69
20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56
20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL
NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24
20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX
NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14
20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL
NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown · -25.57%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New
Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR
NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE
NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX
NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New
Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO
NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA
NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART
NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA
NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP
NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New
Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF
NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX
NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
8 Nov 2024
Exit
JXG
NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
77.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
99.00
8 Nov 2024
Exit
LBRDA
NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
84.84
Reversal Risk Warning
24.58%
Entry 27 Sep 2024
68.10
8 Nov 2024
Exit
LBRDK
NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs C
85.56
Reversal Risk Warning
25.17%
Entry 27 Sep 2024
68.36
8 Nov 2024
Exit
MLR
NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
72.86
Reversal Risk Warning
182.23%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
25.81
8 Nov 2024
Exit
NCNO
NASDAQ · nCino Inc
42.53
Reversal Risk Warning
21.24%
Entry 12 Jan 2024
35.08
8 Nov 2024
Entry
NCTY
NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
8.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 61.55 · ROC 4.30% · RS 3.53
8 Nov 2024
Entry
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
12.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 54.66 · ROC 2.95% · RS 0.06
8 Nov 2024
Exit
NGNE
NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
68.21
Reversal Risk Warning
115.17%
Entry 26 Jan 2024
31.70
8 Nov 2024
Exit
OCFC
NASDAQ · OceanFirst Financial Corp.
18.85
Reversal Risk Warning
19.29%
Entry 6 Sep 2024
15.80
8 Nov 2024
Exit
OLPX
NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.71
20% entry drawdown
-24.00%
Entry 20 Sep 2024
2.25
8 Nov 2024
Entry
PRA
NYSE · ProAssurance Corporation
16.99
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 78.58 · ROC 2.94% · RS 10.09
8 Nov 2024
Entry
QURE
NASDAQ · Uniqure NV
7.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 36.38 · ROC 3.69% · RS 13.94
8 Nov 2024
Exit
RVNC
NASDAQ · Revance Therapeutics, Inc.
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-36.21%
Entry 1 Nov 2024
5.80
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SFBS
NYSE · ServisFirst Bancshares Inc
93.43
Reversal Risk Warning
50.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
62.18
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TASK
NASDAQ · Taskus Inc
9.06
Reversal Risk Warning
32.35%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
6.84
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TISI
NYSE · Team Inc
22.52
Reversal Risk Warning
153.60%
Entry 28 Jun 2024
8.88
8 Nov 2024
Entry
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
8.76
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 44.13 · ROC 3.02% · RS 2.67
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
9.68
Reversal Risk Warning
3.42%
Entry 18 Oct 2024
9.36
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UFI
NYSE · Unifi Inc
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-22.08%
Entry 20 Sep 2024
7.70
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
8.07
Reversal Risk Warning
17.13%
Entry 18 Oct 2024
6.89
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
81.00
Reversal Risk Warning
112.99%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
38.03
8 Nov 2024
Entry
UXIN
NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
4.71
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 43.76 · ROC 15.10% · RS 11.96
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VHI
NYSE · Valhi Inc
39.87
Reversal Risk Warning
142.08%
Entry 29 Mar 2024
16.47
8 Nov 2024
Entry
ZVIA
NYSE · Zevia Pbc
1.53
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 68.35 · ROC 2.06% · RS 3.12
1 Nov 2024
Entry
ATRC
NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
33.51
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 60.74 · ROC 0.11% · RS 4.82
1 Nov 2024
Entry
AUBN
NASDAQ · Auburn National Bancorporation Inc
20.12
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 50.26 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.94
1 Nov 2024
Entry
AURA
NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
10.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 97.77 · ROC 4.68% · RS 10.90
1 Nov 2024
Exit
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 16 Feb 2024
1.97
1 Nov 2024
Entry
BIO
NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
368.42
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 51.75 · ROC 0.19% · RS 5.48
1 Nov 2024
Entry
BMY
NYSE · Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
50.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 91.82 · ROC 0.66% · RS 3.44