View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2701-2730 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Aug 2024
Exit
LMFA NASDAQ · LM Funding America Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.93%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 4.05
16 Aug 2024
Exit
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-28.85%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 5.20
16 Aug 2024
Exit
MCHX NASDAQ · Marchex Inc
2.05
Reversal Risk Warning
8.47%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 1.89
16 Aug 2024
Entry
MRCY NASDAQ · Mercury Systems Inc
40.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.77 · ROC 1.27% · RS 6.39
16 Aug 2024
Entry
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
5.21
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 75.31 · ROC 5.59% · RS 19.61
16 Aug 2024
Entry
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
19.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.21 · ROC 1.95% · RS 25.91
16 Aug 2024
Entry
SDA NASDAQ · SunCar Technology Group Inc.
9.89
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.18 · ROC 1.90% · RS 1.97
16 Aug 2024
Entry
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
53.25
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.27 · ROC 3.20% · RS 8.55
16 Aug 2024
Entry
WASH NASDAQ · Washington Trust Bancorp Inc
26.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.77 · ROC 0.47% · RS 1.81
16 Aug 2024
Entry
WSBF NASDAQ · Waterstone Financial Inc
13.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.15 · ROC 1.12% · RS 3.65
9 Aug 2024
Entry
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
144.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.40 · ROC 4.66% · RS 17.40
9 Aug 2024
Entry
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
5.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 26.72 · ROC 2.93% · RS 16.60
9 Aug 2024
Entry
BALY NYSE · Bally's Corp
17.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.56 · ROC 3.82% · RS 22.25
9 Aug 2024
Exit
BILI NASDAQ · Bilibili Inc
13.86
20% entry drawdown
-23.59%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 18.14
9 Aug 2024
Entry
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
6.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.35 · ROC 2.80% · RS 13.09
9 Aug 2024
Entry
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.85 · ROC 0.96% · RS 5.13
9 Aug 2024
Entry
EBC NASDAQ · Eastern Bankshares Inc
14.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.45 · ROC 1.82% · RS 4.34
9 Aug 2024
Entry
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
1.16
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.08 · ROC 1.32% · RS 6.33
9 Aug 2024
Entry
FIBK NASDAQ · First Interstate BancSystem Inc
25.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.48 · ROC 0.50% · RS 1.40
9 Aug 2024
Entry
FMAO NASDAQ · Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc
22.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.28 · ROC 1.20% · RS 6.64
9 Aug 2024
Exit
HUT NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
11.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 15.17
9 Aug 2024
Exit
IDN NASDAQ · Intellicheck Mobilisa Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-29.11%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 2.92
9 Aug 2024
Exit
MITK NASDAQ · Mitek Systems Inc
8.42
20% entry drawdown
-34.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.81
9 Aug 2024
Entry
MKC NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
74.13
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 72.72 · ROC 1.89% · RS 0.71
9 Aug 2024
Exit
MOGU NYSE · MOGU Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown
-23.32%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 2.83
9 Aug 2024
Exit
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
5.76
20% entry drawdown
-34.02%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 8.73
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ONFO NASDAQ · Onfolio Holdings Inc
0.76
20% entry drawdown
-24.74%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 1.01
9 Aug 2024
Entry
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 87.89 · ROC 2.39% · RS 3.59
9 Aug 2024
Entry
PSNL NASDAQ · Personalis Inc
3.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.00 · ROC 15.26% · RS 92.60
9 Aug 2024
Exit
REFR NASDAQ · Research Frontiers Incorporated
2.31
Reversal Risk Warning
45.28%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 1.59