View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.65
-1.42%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.20
22.81%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.02
38.67%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.16
New Entry week
5
99.53
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
31.62
-6.95%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
6.40
45.45%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
654.27
-13.22%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
33.48
2.20%
4
93.91
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.06
29.74%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.98
1.27%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.26
40.63%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
18.63
28.22%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
21.39
4.09%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.82
78.30%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
11.12
20.87%
4
59.29
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.61
42.38%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
2.09
New Entry week
7
78.18
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
11.52
-1.92%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
52.38
25.43%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.77
-3.31%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
13.55
-10.50%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
9.95
53.55%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.51
15.81%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.80
3.67%
4
66.23
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
10.39
2.47%
5
47.61
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
26.85
4.09%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.59
9.84%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.20
14.79%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.46
-9.56%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
6.93
-9.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 421-450 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Mar 2026
Entry
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
28.00
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 37.31 · ROC 0.48% · RS 0.21
27 Mar 2026
Exit
DK NYSE · Delek US Energy Inc
47.17
Reversal Risk Warning
134.03%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 20.16
27 Mar 2026
Exit
DVN NYSE · Devon Energy Corporation
51.69
Reversal Risk Warning
40.43%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 36.81
27 Mar 2026
Exit
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
66.97
20% entry drawdown
-25.07%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 89.37
27 Mar 2026
Entry
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
70.41
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 13.96 · ROC 0.94% · RS 3.98
27 Mar 2026
Exit
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
61.92
Reversal Risk Warning
214.16%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 19.71
27 Mar 2026
Entry
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
3.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.56 · ROC 1.38% · RS 6.34
27 Mar 2026
Entry
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
8.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 18.96 · ROC 0.38% · RS 2.78
27 Mar 2026
Exit
HAL NYSE · Halliburton Company
40.25
Reversal Risk Warning
48.25%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 27.15
27 Mar 2026
Entry
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
70.64
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 15.87 · ROC 1.00% · RS 1.68
27 Mar 2026
Entry
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.10 · ROC 0.93% · RS 24.59
27 Mar 2026
Exit
IRIX NASDAQ · IRIDEX Corporation
0.99
20% entry drawdown
-20.16%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 1.24
27 Mar 2026
Entry
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
12.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 19.09 · ROC 0.02% · RS 4.97
27 Mar 2026
Exit
MARPS NASDAQ · Marine Petroleum Trust
5.64
Reversal Risk Warning
32.21%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 4.26
27 Mar 2026
Exit
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
1.30
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 1.65
27 Mar 2026
Exit
NYT NYSE · New York Times Company
82.57
Reversal Risk Warning
113.76%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 38.63
27 Mar 2026
Exit
ONCY NASDAQ · Oncolytics Biotech Inc
0.84
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 1.08
27 Mar 2026
Entry
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
49.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 49.87 · ROC 0.73% · RS 9.69
27 Mar 2026
Exit
SPCB NASDAQ · Supercom Ltd
7.72
20% entry drawdown
-21.30%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 9.81
27 Mar 2026
Exit
TPCS NASDAQ · TechPrecision Corporation Common stock
3.17
20% entry drawdown
-23.43%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 4.14
27 Mar 2026
Exit
VAL NYSE · Valaris Ltd
102.24
Reversal Risk Warning
105.84%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 49.67
27 Mar 2026
Exit
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
6.17
20% entry drawdown
-30.28%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 8.85
27 Mar 2026
Exit
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
0.80
20% entry drawdown
-20.50%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 1.01
27 Mar 2026
Exit
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
10.68
20% entry drawdown
-23.05%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 13.88
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
2.81
20% entry drawdown
-30.21%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 4.03
20 Mar 2026
Entry
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
6.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.50 · ROC 2.10% · RS 14.76
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ALTI NASDAQ · Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings Inc.
3.28
20% entry drawdown
-24.25%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 4.33
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
48.46
20% entry drawdown
-21.18%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 61.48
20 Mar 2026
Exit
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
2.30
20% entry drawdown
-24.09%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 3.03
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
3.33
20% entry drawdown
-25.78%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 4.48