Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
139.60
21.73%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
19.14
12.29%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
10.46
-11.88%
8
48.45
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
3.96
-0.75%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
17 Jul 20264.30
4.30
New Entry week
5
93.79
8.69%
0.15
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.55
-5.07%
5
29.47
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.71
15.81%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.06
17.71%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
1.70
32.81%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
6.32
31.67%
7
62.80
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
3.64
1.39%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
426.09
4.89%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
17 Jul 202622.16
22.16
New Entry week
4
57.32
2.83%
2.64
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
117.72
12.47%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
69.80
8.21%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
99.98
38.74%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
7.66
9.43%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
15.10
-16.30%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.68
1.86%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
27.23
3.87%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
3.80
-15.74%
4
82.90
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
3.82
-6.83%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.02
2.47%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
43.25
-6.95%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.30
-8.18%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
16.48
32.48%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
53.98
13.52%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.90
46.32%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4471-4500 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 Mar 2023
Entry
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
6.80
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 49.23 · ROC 1.28% · RS 33.88
31 Mar 2023
Entry
BBIO NASDAQ · BridgeBio Pharma Inc
16.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.06 · ROC 5.51% · RS 52.48
31 Mar 2023
Entry
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
6.19
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 70.73 · ROC 3.07% · RS 11.96
31 Mar 2023
Exit
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
7.59
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 9.59
31 Mar 2023
Entry
CAE NYSE · CAE Inc.
22.63
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 10.18 · ROC 1.21% · RS 0.19
31 Mar 2023
Entry
CD NASDAQ · Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
1.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.83 · ROC 3.91% · RS 21.64
31 Mar 2023
Entry
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
101.09
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 10.69 · ROC 0.09% · RS 2.90
31 Mar 2023
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
205.50
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 27.95 · ROC 2.91% · RS 0.98
31 Mar 2023
Entry
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
196.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.53 · ROC 1.19% · RS 16.66
31 Mar 2023
Entry
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
13.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 33.71 · ROC 0.34% · RS 3.31
31 Mar 2023
Entry
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
19.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.69 · ROC 0.58% · RS 17.87
31 Mar 2023
Entry
FMS NYSE · Fresenius Medical Care Corporation
18.84
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 65.28 · ROC 1.91% · RS 0.07
31 Mar 2023
Entry
GWRE NYSE · Guidewire Software Inc
82.05
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 67.23 · ROC 0.41% · RS 10.62
31 Mar 2023
Entry
HCI NYSE · HCI Group Inc
50.95
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 63.87 · ROC 1.28% · RS 0.21
31 Mar 2023
Entry
HRTG NYSE · Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
3.08
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.91 · ROC 1.98% · RS 8.69
31 Mar 2023
Entry
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
8.76
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 20.48 · ROC 0.25% · RS 4.59
31 Mar 2023
Entry
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
11.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.35 · ROC 0.72% · RS 19.35
31 Mar 2023
Entry
MATH NASDAQ · Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
1.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.12 · ROC 4.62% · RS 21.10
31 Mar 2023
Exit
MNPR NASDAQ · Monopar Therapeutics Inc
6.95
20% entry drawdown
-45.91%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 12.85
31 Mar 2023
Entry
NTRA NASDAQ · Natera Inc
55.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.82 · ROC 1.59% · RS 15.96
31 Mar 2023
Entry
NVTS NASDAQ · Navitas Semiconductor Corp
7.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.57 · ROC 1.85% · RS 23.36
31 Mar 2023
Entry
OTEX NASDAQ · Open Text Corp
34.60
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 88.38 · ROC 1.08% · RS 4.77
31 Mar 2023
Entry
SE NYSE · Sea Ltd
86.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.64 · ROC 2.29% · RS 21.64
31 Mar 2023
Entry
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
4.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.72 · ROC 2.16% · RS 25.00
24 Mar 2023
Exit
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
28.25
20% entry drawdown
-27.56%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 39.00
24 Mar 2023
Exit
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
30.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.31%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 38.40
24 Mar 2023
Exit
AQMS NASDAQ · Aqua Metals Inc
202.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 254.00
24 Mar 2023
Entry
BWMX NYSE · Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
7.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.21 · ROC 1.90% · RS 7.52
24 Mar 2023
Exit
CELC NASDAQ · Celcuity LLC
9.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.95%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 12.03
24 Mar 2023
Exit
CHWY NYSE · Chewy Inc
33.59
20% entry drawdown
-24.70%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 44.61