View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
12 Jun 202628.37
27.76
-2.15%
4
74.63
2.28%
1.70
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
10 Jul 202618.29
18.29
New Entry week
8
81.90
18.63%
12.34
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
6 Mar 20268.36
9.06
8.37%
4
46.86
1.71%
1.13
STRA NASDAQ · Strategic Education Inc
3 Apr 202683.05
84.18
1.37%
4
14.96
0.39%
0.94
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10 Oct 20251.84
6.64
260.87%
4
96.18
11.77%
39.24
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
10 Apr 2026165.02
134.06
-18.76%
7
33.93
0.23%
0.63
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
10 Jul 20268.22
8.22
New Entry week
7
32.21
3.23%
1.72
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
19 Jun 20266.70
8.16
21.79%
4
99.02
5.15%
12.25
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28 Nov 202528.64
33.74
17.81%
4
78.54
4.06%
5.35
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
5 Sep 202557.73
73.37
27.09%
4
66.42
1.09%
2.53
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
10 Oct 20257.46
17.55
135.25%
4
48.64
1.85%
10.66
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
6 Feb 202668.34
78.44
14.78%
5
41.90
1.77%
4.66
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
26 Jun 2026129.86
135.73
4.52%
8
47.29
2.25%
0.49
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
135.14
17.84%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
18.27
7.19%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
11.14
-6.15%
8
51.39
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
4.12
3.26%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.46
-10.44%
5
26.64
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.77
18.38%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.00
14.29%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
2.06
60.94%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
5.73
19.38%
7
63.21
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
4.06
13.09%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
424.62
4.53%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
112.47
7.45%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
67.96
5.36%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
98.31
36.42%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLN NYSE · Valens
12 Jun 20262.21
2.08
-5.88%
6
78.89
8.11%
2.03
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2191-2220 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 Jan 2025
Entry
GH NASDAQ · Guardant Health Inc
33.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.80 · ROC 2.88% · RS 19.71
3 Jan 2025
Entry
ICL NYSE · ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd
4.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.09 · ROC 1.17% · RS 2.39
3 Jan 2025
Entry
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
24.84
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 74.47 · ROC 0.56% · RS 4.19
3 Jan 2025
Entry
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
2.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 44.71 · ROC 3.61% · RS 2.36
3 Jan 2025
Exit
MESO NASDAQ · Mesoblast Ltd
20.12
Reversal Risk Warning
222.44%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 6.24
3 Jan 2025
Exit
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
14.73
Reversal Risk Warning
33.77%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 11.01
3 Jan 2025
Entry
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
30.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.89 · ROC 6.49% · RS 49.89
3 Jan 2025
Entry
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
2.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.22 · ROC 2.46% · RS 8.16
3 Jan 2025
Entry
RNXT NASDAQ · RenovoRx Inc
1.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.65 · ROC 1.17% · RS 0.43
3 Jan 2025
Exit
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
30.66
20% entry drawdown
-23.35%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 40.00
3 Jan 2025
Entry
SNTI NASDAQ · Senti Biosciences Inc
4.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.03 · ROC 5.90% · RS 16.99
3 Jan 2025
Exit
UPLD NASDAQ · Upland Software Inc
46.90
Reversal Risk Warning
8.31%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 43.30
3 Jan 2025
Entry
WKSP NASDAQ · Worksport Ltd
9.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.73 · ROC 7.35% · RS 10.36
3 Jan 2025
Exit
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.51
20% entry drawdown
-26.42%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 4.77
27 Dec 2024
Entry
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
2.36
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 36.12 · ROC 4.38% · RS 2.23
27 Dec 2024
Entry
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
42.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.34 · ROC 30.97% · RS 213.52
27 Dec 2024
Exit
BXSL NYSE · Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
28.30
Reversal Risk Warning
63.02%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 17.36
27 Dec 2024
Exit
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
120.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.31%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 152.50
27 Dec 2024
Exit
DOUG NYSE · Douglas Elliman Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-23.76%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.02
27 Dec 2024
Entry
DRTS NASDAQ · Alpha Tau Medical Ltd
3.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.75 · ROC 2.58% · RS 4.39
27 Dec 2024
Exit
ERII NASDAQ · Energy Recovery Inc
14.86
20% entry drawdown
-20.32%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 18.65
27 Dec 2024
Entry
FOSL NASDAQ · Fossil Group Inc
1.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.72 · ROC 7.93% · RS 38.44
27 Dec 2024
Exit
GME NYSE · GameStop Corp.
32.20
Reversal Risk Warning
34.56%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 23.93
27 Dec 2024
Exit
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
2.97
20% entry drawdown
-22.05%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 3.81
27 Dec 2024
Entry
KVHI NASDAQ · KVH Industries Inc
5.55
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 79.17 · ROC 1.42% · RS 0.32
27 Dec 2024
Entry
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
131.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.17 · ROC 2.12% · RS 6.30
27 Dec 2024
Entry
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
4.75
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 98.22 · ROC 14.93% · RS 14.57
27 Dec 2024
Entry
OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp
4.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.29 · ROC 1.26% · RS 11.88
27 Dec 2024
Exit
PDYN NASDAQ · Palladyne AI Corp
11.77
Reversal Risk Warning
485.57%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.01
27 Dec 2024
Entry
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
5.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.18 · ROC 11.09% · RS 26.00