Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
53.16
13.07%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.36
-1.67%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
7.00
40.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
220.36
11.83%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
47.58
4.27%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.25
50.00%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
10 Jul 202693.27
100.68
7.94%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.25
3.31%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
25.60
44.06%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.80
-4.95%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
34.50
105.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.20
17.02%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
8.50
41.67%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.62
13.60%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.68
125.40%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.54
21.72%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
7.45
25.84%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
17 Jul 2026237.25
237.25
New Entry week
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
19.79
25.09%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
255.27
14.15%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
38.22
98.80%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
5.03
0.40%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
5.70
-16.37%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
12.76
-2.45%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.77
28.37%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
14.07
44.75%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.81
7.51%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
13.90
-2.67%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
129.84
139.42%
Buy
1.10
-
-
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
6.87
3.46%
Buy
0.93
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3751-3780 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Oct 2025
Entry
TYRA NASDAQ · Tyra Biosciences Inc
14.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.90
17 Oct 2025
Exit
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
23.87
Reversal Risk Warning
217.84%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 7.51
17 Oct 2025
Entry
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
30.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.77
17 Oct 2025
Exit
XERS NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.24
Reversal Risk Warning
243.49%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 2.69
10 Oct 2025
Exit
ADUR NASDAQ · Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. Common Stock
16.31
Reversal Risk Warning
396.88%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 3.28
10 Oct 2025
Exit
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
1.64
20% entry drawdown
-24.77%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.18
10 Oct 2025
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown
-27.97%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.36
10 Oct 2025
Entry
ATLX NASDAQ · Atlas Lithium Corporation Common Stock
6.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
10 Oct 2025
Entry
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
4.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
10 Oct 2025
Exit
CEG NASDAQ · Constellation Energy Corp
367.00
Reversal Risk Warning
200.90%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 121.96
10 Oct 2025
Entry
CNTX NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.28
10 Oct 2025
Exit
CRIS NASDAQ · Curis Inc
30.40
20% entry drawdown
-25.12%
Entry 16 May 2025 40.60
10 Oct 2025
Entry
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
12.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
10 Oct 2025
Exit
FLUX NASDAQ · Flux Power Holdings Inc
5.85
Reversal Risk Warning
248.21%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 1.68
10 Oct 2025
Exit
GGR NASDAQ · Gogoro Inc
4.45
20% entry drawdown
-30.51%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 6.40
10 Oct 2025
Exit
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
6.61
Reversal Risk Warning
186.15%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.31
10 Oct 2025
Exit
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
7.95
20% entry drawdown
-25.70%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 10.70
10 Oct 2025
Entry
IPEX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. V
10.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
10 Oct 2025
Exit
IPX NASDAQ · IperionX Limited American Depositary Share
54.29
Reversal Risk Warning
259.54%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 15.10
10 Oct 2025
Exit
ISPR NASDAQ · Ispire Technology Inc. Common Stock
2.20
20% entry drawdown
-26.17%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.98
10 Oct 2025
Entry
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
17.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
10 Oct 2025
Entry
KFII NASDAQ · K&F Growth Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary shares
10.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
10 Oct 2025
Exit
LEU NYSE · Centrus Energy Corp.
363.71
Reversal Risk Warning
221.04%
Entry 23 May 2025 113.29
10 Oct 2025
Entry
LUNR NASDAQ · Intuitive Machines Inc.
12.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
10 Oct 2025
Exit
METC NASDAQ · Ramaco Resources Inc
47.20
Reversal Risk Warning
184.00%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 16.62
10 Oct 2025
Exit
MLYS NASDAQ · Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
42.16
Reversal Risk Warning
353.33%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 9.30
10 Oct 2025
Exit
MP NYSE · MP Materials Corp
78.34
Reversal Risk Warning
464.00%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 13.89
10 Oct 2025
Exit
NB NASDAQ · NioCorp Developments Ltd. Common Stock
10.39
Reversal Risk Warning
320.65%
Entry 23 May 2025 2.47
10 Oct 2025
Exit
NEPH NASDAQ · Nephros Inc
5.40
Reversal Risk Warning
84.93%
Entry 23 May 2025 2.92
10 Oct 2025
Exit
NMG NYSE · Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc
3.34
Reversal Risk Warning
108.75%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 1.60