Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
LEU
Centrus Energy Corp.
EnergyUranium
Centrus Energy Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Last updated
25 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Energy
Industry
Uranium
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
3,701,853,720
Fair value reference
131.62
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 52.47%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, LEU fell 14.02%, moving from 171.05 to 147.07. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -40.66 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.01 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 52.47% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
147.07
12-Week Change
-14.02%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 52.47%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices ยท Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-25
Price remains unsettled
Price and PSI remain weak or inconsistent. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
32/1001 completed week
Recent support
-24Building
Readings pointing the same way
100%Little clear activity
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together34/100
Moving together ยท little change
Ticker and market
Weakness is mainly in this ticker
PSI is weak, but the wider market is not showing the same degree of pressure.
PSI
-35.0
Market togetherness
34/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Market Dynamics is positive; PSI remains weak
Market Dynamics is positive, but PSI has not confirmed the improvement.
Current reading
+0.01
Four-week change
-0.82
Sharemaestro ยท LEU ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Lower-envelope pressure is established. The important distinction is whether price repairs back inside the envelope or continues lower with confirming evidence.
Position
1%Testing the lower envelope
Pressure
-76Cautious
Confirmation
80%Broad confirmation
Underlying support
Market Dynamics context
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics is providing mixed context
Price or underlying support is near its middle ground. The next useful evidence is a clearer move that both APE and Market Dynamics confirm.
Current reading
+0.01
Four-week change
-0.82
Current path
Weakening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathCautious1% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsMixed+0.01 ยท -0.82 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthCautious-40.7 ยท -8.8 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.84ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Testing the lower envelope
The latest close sits at 1% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is compressed
Current width ranks at the 14th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
80% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (210.95), upper boundary (236.32) and lower boundary (146.38).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Compression release
The envelope began expanding after an unusually compressed period.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
Value migration144.8%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth535.6%
Width of the accepted-value range
Supporting evidence
Acceptance migration and auction runway
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above190.55Established market memory sits 29.6% above the latest close.
Below82.87Established market memory sits 43.7% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above212.98
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet82.87
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below33.51
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
190.55
29.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
82.87
-43.7%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
46.97
-68.1%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 18.0% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 11.7% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Demand column rising
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Expectations ahead
Accepted value migrating higher
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves higher.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 82.87 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
3 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 143.39 ยท Resistance 152.21
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.27%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 16% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history38% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-61.6%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+3360.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.2ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
10 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
33 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
3.4%
Low to high
Accepted price
189.41
Latest versus accepted: -22.35%
Fitted direction
Falling
-2.29% per week
Range pressure
31/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.59ร normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Current pivot
142.74
-2.9%
60/100
3
Resistance
163.69
11.3%
87/100
4
Resistance
183.45
24.7%
98/100
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 3.4% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -2.29% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 31/100; 50 is balanced.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.12 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityMixed
The current trend state has persisted for 33 completed weeks; visible confirmation is mixed.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
47 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
47 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
48 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
48 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
49 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -16.3% and Market Dynamics changed -0.82 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-10Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
74% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 51% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 20% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Progressing
Activated
2025-11-07
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. LEU is 74% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 74%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 46 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 34%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 51%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 20%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks14%
26 weeks34%
52 weeks51%
Accumulation zone
82.22 / deep 39.89
Current close
147.07
Distribution zone
336.14 / deep 378.47
Source-zone dwell
8 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 0.01Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 0.06Change in underlying supportTrend position -18%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.90รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2025-05-09โ2025-10-10 ยท 23 completed weeks ยท price move +288.6%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2025-05-09โ2025-10-10 ยท journey 23w ยท source dwell 9w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+288.6%
Time to confirm
23w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 23 completed weeks. Price moved +288.6% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Current stateExpectations ahead
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 5 updates.
Spread
Stable
Persistence
5 quarters
Confirmation
Limited support
Repricing pressure
High โ price-led
Market move166.6%
Three-year change
Earnings move27.3%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-139.4 pts
stable
Current valuation52.5ร
Price relative to earnings power
Expectations stretched
Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
2 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Caution
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Mixed
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Caution
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Share countA stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable.Caution
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Earnings ahead
Confirmed compounding
Earnings ahead
Expectations ahead
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+11.74% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 21% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 79% of completed observations.
State persistence106 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 152 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 52% of the time; the typical move was +0.2%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
1 week ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
10 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
13 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
19 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
27 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area162.07
Swing high at 162.07, 10.2% above the latest close.
Weakening level178.74
A completed loss of the core VWAP with pressure below 40 would strengthen seller control.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
Swing high
162.07
+10.20%
13-week VWAP
167.79
+14.09%
Latest earnings VWAP
170.11
+15.66%
26-week VWAP
178.74
+21.54%
Year VWAP
208.42
+41.71%
High-activity anchor
236.61
+60.88%
52-week VWAP
242.92
+65.17%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 2%Above price 98%
8%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -70.5 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 85/100
Sector ยท EnergyWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -43.2 points.
Control is contested ยท 57/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim44% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+1.86%
Median 13w
-13.58%
Typical best
+39.00%
Typical worst
-23.18%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss56% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
-2.20%
Median 13w
-9.16%
Typical best
+57.40%
Typical worst
-20.27%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states26 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
58%
Median 4w
+5.57%
Positive after 13w
58%
Median 13w
+3.27%
Best / worst 13w
+270.7% / -24.1%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.13 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.13 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.13
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
26 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 27 comparable completed observations, 81.5% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +43.7%.
Comparable observations
27Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
81.5%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+43.7%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+26.6 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
147.07
12-Week Change
-14.02%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 52.47%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-40.66
Market Dynamics
0.01
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, LEU fell 14.02%, moving from 171.05 to 147.07. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -40.66 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.01 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 52.47% based on similar historical setup states.
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