Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
AAP
NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
55.80
18.69%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT
NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.21
-7.92%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO
NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
6.05
21.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG
NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
225.24
14.31%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM
NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
47.72
4.58%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS
NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.13
42.00%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
10 Jul 202693.27
103.06
10.49%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ABVC
NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.15
-4.96%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD
NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
24.84
39.79%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.26
-15.64%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACHC
NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
34.51
105.78%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU
NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.23
18.62%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG
NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
7.90
31.67%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE
NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.55
11.88%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS
NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.23
107.54%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG
NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.66
24.93%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA
NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
7.73
30.57%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
17 Jul 2026237.25
225.11
-5.12%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADNT
NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
20.40
28.95%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP
NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
250.09
11.83%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADV
NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
36.44
89.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB
NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
18.98
278.84%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN
NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
5.89
-13.58%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI
NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
13.09
0.08%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES
NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.84
28.97%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI
NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
11.96
23.05%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG
NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.57
-1.67%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA
NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
13.90
-2.67%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL
NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
98.00
80.71%
Buy
1.10
-
-
AGPU
NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
6.85
3.16%
Buy
0.93
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
27 Dec 2024
Exit
GME
NYSE · GameStop Corp.
32.20
Reversal Risk Warning
84.42%
Entry 10 May 2024
17.46
27 Dec 2024
Entry
GRPN
NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
11.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.58
27 Dec 2024
Entry
GRRR
NASDAQ · Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
18.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.64
27 Dec 2024
Entry
GTBP
NASDAQ · GT Biopharma Inc
3.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.09
27 Dec 2024
Exit
HUT
NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
22.32
20% entry drawdown
-20.34%
Entry 29 Nov 2024
28.02
27 Dec 2024
Entry
IDAI
NASDAQ · Trust Stamp Inc
10.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.37
27 Dec 2024
Exit
IREN
NASDAQ · IREN Ltd
10.71
20% entry drawdown
-20.73%
Entry 29 Nov 2024
13.51
27 Dec 2024
Exit
IZM
NASDAQ · ICZOOM Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
1.83
20% entry drawdown
-23.26%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
2.38
27 Dec 2024
Entry
JBL
NYSE · Jabil Circuit Inc
145.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.52
27 Dec 2024
Entry
JMIA
NYSE · Jumia Technologies AG
4.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
27 Dec 2024
Exit
KEQU
NASDAQ · Kewaunee Scientific Corporation
63.81
Reversal Risk Warning
188.73%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
22.10
27 Dec 2024
Entry
KOD
NASDAQ · Kodiak Sciences Inc
9.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.85
27 Dec 2024
Entry
KYNB
NASDAQ · Kyntra Bio, Inc.
14.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.04
27 Dec 2024
Entry
LIDR
NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
2.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.22
27 Dec 2024
Entry
MDAI
NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.71
27 Dec 2024
Entry
NMG
NYSE · Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc
1.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.75
27 Dec 2024
Entry
ONDS
NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
2.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.60
27 Dec 2024
Exit
PBT
NYSE · Permian Basin Royalty Trust
10.18
20% entry drawdown
-24.19%
Entry 22 Nov 2024
13.42
27 Dec 2024
Entry
PGNY
NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
16.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.01
27 Dec 2024
Entry
QBTS
NYSE · D-Wave Quantum Inc.
9.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.18
27 Dec 2024
Entry
REKR
NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.35
27 Dec 2024
Entry
RGTI
NASDAQ · Rigetti Computing Inc
17.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.32
27 Dec 2024
Exit
RUM
NASDAQ · Rumble Inc.
15.23
Reversal Risk Warning
152.15%
Entry 26 Jan 2024
6.04
27 Dec 2024
Entry
SHMD
NASDAQ · SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
3.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
27 Dec 2024
Entry
SIDU
NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
5.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
27 Dec 2024
Entry
SLDP
NASDAQ · Solid Power Inc
2.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.22
27 Dec 2024
Exit
SOUN
NASDAQ · SoundHound AI Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning
232.64%
Entry 8 Nov 2024
7.20
27 Dec 2024
Entry
TE
NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.02
27 Dec 2024
Exit
TKNO
NASDAQ · Alpha Teknova Inc
8.73
Reversal Risk Warning
113.97%
Entry 26 Jul 2024
4.08
27 Dec 2024
Exit
VIV
NYSE · Telefonica Brasil SA ADR
6.85
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 10 Nov 2023
8.60