Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68
Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720
Avg 3056.5/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806
Stop 41.2% ·
Warning 58.2%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25
MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q
NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80
MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA
NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE
NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60
Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM
NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66
Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN
NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57
Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX
NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41
Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06
Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX
NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05
Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT
NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00
Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC
NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40
Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN
NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM
NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31
Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY
NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS
NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08
Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG
NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN
NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27
Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD
NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38
Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX
NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC
NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
DDD
NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
3.07
46.19%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA
NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
24.87
21.01%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK
NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
105.99
6.18%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEI
NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.01
12.24%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DFH
NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.83
-7.97%
Buy
0.78
-
-
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
6 Mar 20262.33
2.04
-12.45%
Buy
0.09
-
-
DHR
NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
199.05
1.46%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DIN
NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
35.71
56.49%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG
NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
26.48
5.90%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC
NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.03
-0.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO
NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
15.19
81.36%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH
NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.03
99.50%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR
NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
124.91
73.80%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA
NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.66
2.99%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP
NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
26.52
19.96%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI
NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
25.68
76.49%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX
NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.02
0.10%
Buy
1.46
-
-
DNUT
NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.44
3.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU
NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
49.18
2.67%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW
NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.03
7.60%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN
NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
15.50
12.56%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR
NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
27.40
-1.15%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX
NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
72.07
-1.45%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX
NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.14
30.70%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT
NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
43.68
16.14%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL
NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
8.76
34.36%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL
NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
19 Jun 2026125.56
124.76
-0.64%
Buy
1.06
-
-
DV
NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.67
3.18%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM
NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
74.96
10.94%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG
NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.62
-0.16%
Buy
0.22
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOX
NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class B
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning
100.18%
Entry 21 Jun 2024
31.35
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOXA
NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class A
70.76
Reversal Risk Warning
95.84%
Entry 19 Jul 2024
36.13
12 Dec 2025
Entry
FRPT
NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
63.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.21
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FULC
NASDAQ · Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc
13.00
Reversal Risk Warning
131.32%
Entry 2 May 2025
5.62
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GALT
NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
6.25
Reversal Risk Warning
293.08%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
1.59
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GM
NYSE · General Motors Company
80.52
Reversal Risk Warning
112.21%
Entry 2 Feb 2024
37.94
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HKD
NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 12 Sep 2025
1.82
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HUHU
NASDAQ · HUHUTECH International Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
11.70
Reversal Risk Warning
122.86%
Entry 16 May 2025
5.25
12 Dec 2025
Entry
HUN
NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
10.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.67
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HURN
NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
179.51
Reversal Risk Warning
80.47%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
99.47
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IBRX
NASDAQ · Immunitybio Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IMMR
NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
6.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
JFU
NASDAQ · 9F Inc
7.37
Reversal Risk Warning
302.73%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
1.83
12 Dec 2025
Entry
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
20.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
12 Dec 2025
Entry
KIDS
NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
17.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LC
NYSE · LendingClub Corp
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
139.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LNC
NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
44.00
Reversal Risk Warning
81.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
24.23
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MKZR
NASDAQ · MacKenzie Realty Capital, Inc. Common Stock
4.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
11.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MTVA
NASDAQ · MetaVia Inc.
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.01
12 Dec 2025
Exit
MVBF
NASDAQ · MVB Financial Corp
27.49
Reversal Risk Warning
50.00%
Entry 23 May 2025
18.33
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NBIX
NASDAQ · Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
152.80
Reversal Risk Warning
27.14%
Entry 23 May 2025
120.18
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.84
20% entry drawdown
-25.37%
Entry 5 Dec 2025
7.83
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NMRA
NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 24 Oct 2025
2.63
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NOG
NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
21.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.52
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRIM
NASDAQ · Northrim BanCorp Inc
27.13
Reversal Risk Warning
139.19%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
11.34
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRXP
NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 30 May 2025
2.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NUTX
NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
184.89
Reversal Risk Warning
461.80%
Entry 22 Nov 2024
32.91
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OCUL
NASDAQ · Ocular Therapeutix Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
270.48%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
3.93