Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-300 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
8 May 202628.90
29.19
1.00%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DCBO NASDAQ · Docebo Inc
1 May 202620.67
18.81
-9.02%
Buy
0.33
-
-
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
23 May 20254.28
5.13
19.86%
Buy
0.05
-
-
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
3.07
46.19%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
24.87
21.01%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
105.99
6.18%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
3 Jul 20260.53
0.50
-5.77%
Buy
0.47
-
-
DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.01
12.24%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
13 Jun 20254.13
6.25
51.33%
Buy
0.11
-
-
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.83
-7.97%
Buy
0.78
-
-
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
6 Mar 20262.33
2.04
-12.45%
Buy
0.09
-
-
DHR NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
199.05
1.46%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DIN NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
35.71
56.49%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
26.48
5.90%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.03
-0.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
15.19
81.36%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.03
99.50%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
124.91
73.80%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.66
2.99%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
26.52
19.96%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
25.68
76.49%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.02
0.10%
Buy
1.47
-
-
DNUT NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.44
3.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
49.18
2.67%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.03
7.60%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
15.50
12.56%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
27.40
-1.15%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
72.07
-1.45%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.14
30.70%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
43.68
16.14%
Buy
0.07
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2671-2700 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SHMD NASDAQ · SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.42
Reversal Risk Warning
242.76%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 3.04
6 Feb 2026
Entry
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
20.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SPFI NASDAQ · South Plains Financial Inc
43.04
Reversal Risk Warning
79.58%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 23.97
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STEL NYSE · Stellar Bancorp, Inc.
38.85
Reversal Risk Warning
69.33%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 22.95
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-25.36%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 2.09
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-20.31%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 2.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STLA NYSE · Stellantis NV
7.28
20% entry drawdown
-28.21%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.14
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STRT NASDAQ · Strattec Security Corporation
90.47
Reversal Risk Warning
282.05%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 23.68
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
3.89
20% entry drawdown
-21.73%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 4.97
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SYY NYSE · Sysco Corporation
85.88
Reversal Risk Warning
27.60%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 67.30
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TAK NYSE · Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR
17.89
Reversal Risk Warning
43.18%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 12.49
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TCBK NASDAQ · TriCo Bancshares
51.47
Reversal Risk Warning
46.49%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 35.13
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TDY NYSE · Teledyne Technologies Incorporated
647.56
Reversal Risk Warning
57.86%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 410.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TFC NYSE · Truist Financial Corp
54.68
Reversal Risk Warning
100.07%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 27.33
6 Feb 2026
Exit
THO NYSE · Thor Industries Inc
119.18
Reversal Risk Warning
40.73%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 84.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TILE NASDAQ · Interface Inc
34.55
Reversal Risk Warning
182.61%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-21.24%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.39
6 Feb 2026
Entry
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TM NYSE · Toyota Motor Corporation ADR
244.22
Reversal Risk Warning
46.92%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 166.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TPB NYSE · Turning Point Brands Inc
129.72
Reversal Risk Warning
211.50%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 41.64
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TPR NYSE · Tapestry Inc
151.25
Reversal Risk Warning
171.62%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 55.68
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TRMK NASDAQ · Trustmark Corporation
44.17
Reversal Risk Warning
118.08%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 20.26
6 Feb 2026
Entry
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
76.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TTC NYSE · Toro Co
97.36
Reversal Risk Warning
31.59%
Entry 30 May 2025 73.99
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
3.03
20% entry drawdown
-21.50%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 3.86
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TVGN NASDAQ · Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.
13.73
20% entry drawdown
-27.66%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 18.98
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TXT NYSE · Textron Inc
95.40
Reversal Risk Warning
24.56%
Entry 16 May 2025 76.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBFO NASDAQ · United Security Bancshares
11.41
Reversal Risk Warning
75.13%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 6.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBSI NASDAQ · United Bankshares Inc
44.71
Reversal Risk Warning
47.93%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 30.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UCB NYSE · United Community Banks, Inc.
35.94
Reversal Risk Warning
43.02%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 25.13