Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.15
3.43%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
81.34
12.19%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.04
6.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
1.88
1.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
9.89
0.92%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
82.13
24.51%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
4.07
85.84%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
73.69
9.28%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
65.75
11.40%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.95
31.40%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
373.11
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
68.60
18.06%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.57
0.78%
Buy
2.08
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
27.07
12.32%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.23
-0.10%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
13.74
83.94%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
5.73
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
29.66
61.10%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.52
13.18%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
3 Jul 2026257.78
227.31
-11.82%
Buy
0.77
-
-
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.45
-3.37%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.77
4.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
61.59
12.37%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
22.78
7.61%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
84.10
51.94%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.81
21.04%
Buy
1.29
-
-
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
30.27
2.16%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.83
17.31%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
28.16
-4.57%
Buy
0.35
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4771-4800 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
2.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LTRX NASDAQ · Lantronix Inc
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.70
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
0.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
27 Jun 2025
Entry
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
19.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
27 Jun 2025
Entry
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
23.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
27 Jun 2025
Exit
MSFT NASDAQ · Microsoft Corporation
491.99
Reversal Risk Warning
45.87%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 337.27
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NFLX NASDAQ · Netflix Inc
132.31
Reversal Risk Warning
171.82%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 48.68
27 Jun 2025
Entry
NKTR NASDAQ · Nektar Therapeutics
25.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.42%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 2.22
27 Jun 2025
Entry
NOV NYSE · NOV Inc.
12.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NPCT NYSE · Nuveen Core Plus Impact Fund
9.89
Reversal Risk Warning
40.54%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 7.04
27 Jun 2025
Exit
OLLI NASDAQ · Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
132.80
Reversal Risk Warning
83.43%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 72.40
27 Jun 2025
Entry
ONCY NASDAQ · Oncolytics Biotech Inc
0.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
27 Jun 2025
Entry
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
27 Jun 2025
Exit
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
6.62
20% entry drawdown
-21.69%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 8.46
27 Jun 2025
Entry
PEB NYSE · Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
9.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
27 Jun 2025
Entry
PFE NYSE · Pfizer Inc
22.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
27 Jun 2025
Entry
PLPC NASDAQ · Preformed Line Products Company
158.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.73
27 Jun 2025
Entry
PUMP NYSE · ProPetro Holding Corp
5.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
27 Jun 2025
Entry
QS NASDAQ · QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock
6.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.70
27 Jun 2025
Entry
QTEX NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
0.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RCUS NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
7.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.26%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 9.97
27 Jun 2025
Entry
RDDT NYSE · Reddit, Inc.
143.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RDWR NASDAQ · Radware Ltd
29.17
Reversal Risk Warning
72.60%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 16.90
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RENT NASDAQ · Rent the Runway Inc
4.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.95
27 Jun 2025
Entry
RES NYSE · RPC Inc
4.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
2.58
20% entry drawdown
-22.29%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 3.32
27 Jun 2025
Entry
RILYG NASDAQ · B. Riley Financial Inc. 5.00% Senior Notes due 2026
11.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
27 Jun 2025
Entry
RNGR NYSE · Ranger Energy Services Inc
12.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
27 Jun 2025
Entry
RWT NYSE · Redwood Trust Inc
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03