Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
EPC
NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
26.48
43.83%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN
NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.22
7.03%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE
NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
26 Jun 2026237.36
251.81
6.09%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ESBA
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.48
-2.84%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT
NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.43
-2.05%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC
NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
60.24
9.91%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD
NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
21.73
2.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY
NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
81.05
46.43%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
5 Jun 20262.13
1.81
-14.82%
Buy
0.12
-
-
EVH
NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.88
22.50%
Buy
1.27
-
-
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
3 Jul 20262.90
2.79
-3.97%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EVTC
NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
29.25
-1.28%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY
NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.89
21.15%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS
NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
27.30
-7.49%
Buy
0.35
-
-
EYPT
NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
30 May 20257.24
14.72
103.31%
Buy
0.74
-
-
FACT
NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
1 Aug 202510.29
10.63
3.30%
Buy
1.02
-
-
FATE
NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
3.10
37.78%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
5.35
129.61%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN
NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.61
12.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO
NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.30
19.57%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC
NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.97
-10.08%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL
NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.03
58.00%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
12.31
25.48%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS
NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
247.11
10.78%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF
NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.64
25.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG
NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
29.67
6.49%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.94
23.90%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC
NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
9.81
-2.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO
NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1250.90
0.02%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG
NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
21.11
2.18%
Buy
1.41
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
6 Mar 2026
Entry
RFL
NYSE · Rafael Holdings, Inc.
1.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.71
6 Mar 2026
Entry
ROMA
NASDAQ · Roma Green Finance Limited Ordinary Shares
2.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
6 Mar 2026
Entry
RPAY
NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
2.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.11
6 Mar 2026
Entry
RRGB
NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
4.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.24
6 Mar 2026
Exit
RSVR
NASDAQ · Reservoir Media Inc
10.00
Reversal Risk Warning
60.26%
Entry 6 Oct 2023
6.24
6 Mar 2026
Entry
RXT
NASDAQ · Rackspace Technology Inc
2.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.65
6 Mar 2026
Exit
SENS
NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
5.96
20% entry drawdown
-23.20%
Entry 16 Jan 2026
7.76
6 Mar 2026
Exit
SERA
NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
1.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.69%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
2.49
6 Mar 2026
Exit
SFHG
NASDAQ · Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited
2.66
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
3.41
6 Mar 2026
Exit
SLNG
NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3.76
20% entry drawdown
-22.03%
Entry 17 Oct 2025
4.82
6 Mar 2026
Exit
STRS
NASDAQ · Stratus Properties Inc
31.08
Reversal Risk Warning
62.04%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
19.18
6 Mar 2026
Entry
STRZ
NASDAQ · Starz Entertainment LLC
15.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.45
6 Mar 2026
Entry
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
5.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.26
6 Mar 2026
Entry
TLX
NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
7.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31
6 Mar 2026
Exit
UNF
NYSE · Unifirst Corporation
258.82
Reversal Risk Warning
59.98%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
161.78
6 Mar 2026
Exit
UONE
NASDAQ · Urban One
10.02
20% entry drawdown
-26.43%
Entry 30 Jan 2026
13.62
6 Mar 2026
Entry
XBIO
NASDAQ · Xenetic Biosciences Inc
2.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
6 Mar 2026
Entry
XPOF
NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
5.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
27 Feb 2026
Entry
ACOG
NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
6.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
27 Feb 2026
Exit
AEM
NYSE · Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
250.51
Reversal Risk Warning
246.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024
72.23
27 Feb 2026
Exit
AEP
NASDAQ · American Electric Power Co Inc
132.85
Reversal Risk Warning
87.60%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
70.81
27 Feb 2026
Exit
AG
NYSE · First Majestic Silver Corp
31.98
Reversal Risk Warning
287.53%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
8.25
27 Feb 2026
Exit
AGI
NYSE · Alamos Gold Inc
54.08
Reversal Risk Warning
270.17%
Entry 29 Mar 2024
14.61
27 Feb 2026
Exit
ALMS
NASDAQ · Alumis Inc
29.69
Reversal Risk Warning
306.71%
Entry 21 Nov 2025
7.30
27 Feb 2026
Exit
ALOY
NASDAQ · REalloys Inc.
18.46
Reversal Risk Warning
464.53%
Entry 7 Feb 2025
3.27
27 Feb 2026
Exit
AM
NYSE · Antero Midstream Partners LP
22.25
Reversal Risk Warning
108.82%
Entry 20 Oct 2023
10.66
27 Feb 2026
Entry
AMCI
NASDAQ · AMC Robotics Corporation
7.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
27 Feb 2026
Entry
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
8.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
27 Feb 2026
Entry
ARDT
NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
9.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
27 Feb 2026
Exit
ASTE
NASDAQ · Astec Industries Inc
61.79
Reversal Risk Warning
81.42%
Entry 9 Feb 2024
34.06