Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.22
0.39%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.54
-12.84%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.54
-2.17%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
25.42
14.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
33.82
-0.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
15.09
23.17%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.55
19.20%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.64
3.53%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.34
7.06%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.82
16.47%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
17.62
67.81%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
57.13
-4.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.05
39.87%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
30.51
40.40%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
50.81
-1.05%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.59
1.23%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.98
1.87%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.36
6.69%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.80
3.73%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
143.44
0.27%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.76
120.90%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.91
-12.13%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
19.46
-2.41%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.46
5.50%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.80
22.87%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
26.11
-6.43%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.46
54.72%
Buy
1.17
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 811-840 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jun 2026
Entry
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
23.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
5 Jun 2026
Exit
FTK NYSE · Flotek Industries Inc
23.52
Reversal Risk Warning
237.45%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 6.97
5 Jun 2026
Exit
FTNT NASDAQ · Fortinet Inc
144.68
Reversal Risk Warning
105.39%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 70.44
5 Jun 2026
Exit
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.42
20% entry drawdown
-38.40%
Entry 22 May 2026 0.69
5 Jun 2026
Exit
GS NYSE · Goldman Sachs Group Inc
1038.68
Reversal Risk Warning
216.45%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 328.23
5 Jun 2026
Entry
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
5 Jun 2026
Exit
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
0.68
20% entry drawdown
-21.15%
Entry 15 May 2026 0.86
5 Jun 2026
Exit
GWW NYSE · WW Grainger Inc
1300.01
Reversal Risk Warning
67.52%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 776.02
5 Jun 2026
Exit
H NYSE · Hyatt Hotels Corporation
193.06
Reversal Risk Warning
65.10%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 116.93
5 Jun 2026
Exit
HCAI NASDAQ · Huachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co Ltd
6.75
20% entry drawdown
-32.50%
Entry 22 May 2026 10.00
5 Jun 2026
Exit
HPE NYSE · Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co
49.06
Reversal Risk Warning
134.48%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 20.92
5 Jun 2026
Entry
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
13.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
5 Jun 2026
Entry
HSPT NASDAQ · Horizon Space Acquisition II Corp. Ordinary share
9.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
5 Jun 2026
Exit
HST NASDAQ · Host Hotels & Resorts Inc
24.41
Reversal Risk Warning
62.73%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 15.00
5 Jun 2026
Entry
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
2.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
5 Jun 2026
Exit
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 22 May 2026 1.75
5 Jun 2026
Exit
IESC NASDAQ · IES Holdings Inc
720.72
Reversal Risk Warning
260.90%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 199.70
5 Jun 2026
Exit
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
44.80
Reversal Risk Warning
291.27%
Entry 1 May 2026 11.45
5 Jun 2026
Exit
KNX NYSE · Knight Transportation Inc
78.38
Reversal Risk Warning
86.55%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 42.01
5 Jun 2026
Exit
KRG NYSE · Kite Realty Group Trust
27.41
Reversal Risk Warning
36.71%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 20.05
5 Jun 2026
Exit
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 29 May 2026 13.41
5 Jun 2026
Entry
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
5 Jun 2026
Entry
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
50.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
5 Jun 2026
Exit
LI NASDAQ · Li Auto Inc
14.20
20% entry drawdown
-22.32%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 18.28
5 Jun 2026
Exit
LQDT NASDAQ · Liquidity Services Inc
37.23
Reversal Risk Warning
106.83%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 18.00
5 Jun 2026
Exit
LSTR NASDAQ · Landstar System Inc
218.06
Reversal Risk Warning
64.10%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 132.88
5 Jun 2026
Exit
MAR NASDAQ · Marriott International Inc
392.51
Reversal Risk Warning
81.73%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 215.98
5 Jun 2026
Exit
MDBH NASDAQ · MDB Capital Holdings, LLC Class A common
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.47%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 3.92
5 Jun 2026
Exit
MS NYSE · Morgan Stanley
211.93
Reversal Risk Warning
149.21%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 85.04
5 Jun 2026
Exit
MSM NYSE · MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc
114.67
Reversal Risk Warning
52.21%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 75.34