Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 391-420 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.25
-6.24%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
4 Jul 202575.93
64.70
-14.79%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.53
-15.32%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.31
-8.69%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.19
15.70%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
8 May 20262.34
1.94
-17.09%
Buy
0.28
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
5.57
14.85%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
19 Jun 20260.83
0.77
-7.33%
Buy
0.96
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.38
-9.73%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
67.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
33.46
35.15%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
36.22
-1.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.11
1.10%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
38.48
15.04%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
10 Jul 20261.46
1.46
New Entry week
Buy
0.15
-
-
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
29.00
37.25%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.81
-8.59%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.50
45.63%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
24.20
6.74%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.98
4.18%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
23 May 202511.77
9.66
-17.93%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GPAT NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
11.11
7.45%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
125.62
8.27%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
10.28
2.10%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
76.04
4.18%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
16.89
197.88%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.93
10.70%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
1.98
34.69%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.27
3.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.57
-8.52%
Buy
0.30
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3091-3120 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
10.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.96%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 13.30
26 Dec 2025
Entry
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
8.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ASPC NASDAQ · A SPAC III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
24.01
Reversal Risk Warning
73.86%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 13.81
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAC NYSE · Bank of America Corp
55.16
Reversal Risk Warning
99.78%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 27.61
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAYA NASDAQ · Bayview Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
11.75
Reversal Risk Warning
9.30%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 10.75
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BCS NYSE · Barclays PLC ADR
25.44
Reversal Risk Warning
208.62%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 8.24
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CAPS NASDAQ · Capstone Holding Corp. Common Stock
0.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 0.91
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
60.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
37.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CVRX NASDAQ · CVRx Inc
7.42
20% entry drawdown
-25.43%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.95
26 Dec 2025
Exit
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
4.23
20% entry drawdown
-22.24%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 5.44
26 Dec 2025
Entry
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
67.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Dec 2025
Entry
EMA NYSE · Emera Incorporated
48.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
2.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLNT NASDAQ · Fluent Inc
2.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Exit
FORTY NASDAQ · Formula Systems 1985 Ltd ADR
173.69
Reversal Risk Warning
198.30%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 58.23
26 Dec 2025
Entry
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
26 Dec 2025
Exit
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.48
26 Dec 2025
Entry
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Dec 2025
Exit
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-25.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 5.75
26 Dec 2025
Entry
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
1.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
26 Dec 2025
Exit
JLL NYSE · Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
346.96
Reversal Risk Warning
88.98%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 183.60
26 Dec 2025
Entry
LION NYSE · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76
26 Dec 2025
Entry
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OMER NASDAQ · Omeros Corporation
15.71
Reversal Risk Warning
453.17%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.84
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
15.53
Reversal Risk Warning
152.11%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 6.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
12.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PCSC NASDAQ · Perceptive Capital Solutions Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
13.27
Reversal Risk Warning
22.98%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 10.79
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PDSB NASDAQ · PDS Biotechnology Corp
0.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21