Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
68.12
1.58%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC
NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
34.45
39.15%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS
NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
37.97
2.77%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW
NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.09
0.85%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE
NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
38.12
13.96%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
28.72
35.92%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS
NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.72
-13.13%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA
NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.55
50.49%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX
NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
24.35
7.40%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO
NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.44
-1.46%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
23 May 202511.77
9.81
-16.65%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GPAT
NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
11.01
6.48%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC
NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
124.82
7.58%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK
NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
10.82
7.46%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN
NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
77.82
6.62%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
19.23
239.15%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB
NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.57
0.56%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GREE
NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
1.71
16.33%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS
NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.27
3.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT
NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.67
-6.52%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV
NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.08
-14.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN
NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
27.83
89.71%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY
NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
61.98
5.95%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG
NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.43
0.70%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD
NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
8.83
-9.49%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD
NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
54.28
15.81%
Buy
0.52
-
-
GSM
NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.35
-15.43%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF
NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.17
0.39%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
5 Jun 20260.65
0.57
-11.82%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GTERA
NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.35
0.93%
Buy
2.66
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CCCC
NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 8 Aug 2025
2.50
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CGTL
NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
18.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.08
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CHH
NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
95.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CMCSA
NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
25.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Entry
DJT
NASDAQ · Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
13.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Exit
DX
NYSE · Dynex Capital Inc
13.22
Reversal Risk Warning
49.23%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.86
2 Jan 2026
Exit
EDIT
NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
2.57
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ESHA
NASDAQ · ESH Acquisition Corp. Class A Common Stock
15.25
Reversal Risk Warning
35.68%
Entry 10 Jan 2025
11.24
2 Jan 2026
Exit
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
7.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.61%
Entry 17 Oct 2025
9.84
2 Jan 2026
Entry
INBK
NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
20.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
2 Jan 2026
Exit
IRS
NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones
16.62
Reversal Risk Warning
142.66%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
6.85
2 Jan 2026
Exit
MSB
NYSE · Mesabi Trust
38.93
Reversal Risk Warning
147.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
15.71
2 Jan 2026
Entry
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.69
2 Jan 2026
Exit
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
1.35
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OMSE
NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.
4.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OPTX
NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ORIO
NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 16 May 2025
1.28
2 Jan 2026
Exit
OXLCO
NASDAQ · Oxford Lane Capital Corp Corp Pref 9
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
23.53%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
18.48
2 Jan 2026
Entry
POWI
NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
37.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSEC
NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.62
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSIG
NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares
4.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.79
2 Jan 2026
Exit
REKR
NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 19 Sep 2025
1.79
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU
NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.29
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
480.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SON
NYSE · Sonoco Products Company
43.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
2 Jan 2026
Exit
TMO
NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
591.32
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
413.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.43
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.54
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UXIN
NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
3.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.46
2 Jan 2026
Exit
WYHG
NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.12%
Entry 19 Dec 2025
3.04