Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
9.22
40.76%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.07
17.50%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
14.99
57.58%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
25.14
11.14%
Buy
0.39
-
-
HPK NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
13 Feb 20265.09
7.01
37.72%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
5 Jun 202613.74
15.18
10.48%
Buy
1.30
-
-
HPQ NYSE · HP Inc
1 May 202620.58
24.22
17.69%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
16 Jan 202610.84
12.41
14.48%
Buy
1.69
-
-
HRB NYSE · H&R Block Inc
8 May 202636.56
39.59
8.30%
Buy
0.40
-
-
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
12 Jun 2026144.62
148.91
2.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
12 Jun 202624.75
24.73
-0.08%
Buy
0.42
-
-
HSTM NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
28.08
29.41%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
1.80
-15.89%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
21 Feb 202550.60
61.47
21.48%
Buy
0.06
-
-
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
4 Jul 202535.30
46.20
30.89%
Buy
0.27
-
-
HUM NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
392.22
68.27%
Buy
0.08
-
-
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
11.13
7.14%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
23.32
40.23%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
25.10
28.78%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
28.60
45.62%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
32.68
-1.46%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202616.76
16.59
-1.01%
Buy
1.49
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
1.09
18.47%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
18.79
34.99%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
167.72
43.62%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
36.99
96.55%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.49
-1.96%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
77.53
19.73%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
2.05
28.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.28
151.67%
Buy
0.26
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 721-750 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SLF NYSE · Sun Life Financial Inc.
76.64
Reversal Risk Warning
67.03%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 45.88
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
5.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SMBK NYSE · SmartFinancial, Inc.
45.46
Reversal Risk Warning
101.43%
Entry 17 May 2024 22.57
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SMFG NYSE · Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc
24.40
Reversal Risk Warning
144.47%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 9.98
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SMPL NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co
12.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SMTC NASDAQ · Semtech Corporation
166.71
Reversal Risk Warning
298.07%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 41.88
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
13.00
Ticker inactive / final available close
36.13%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 9.55
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SNX NYSE · Synnex Corporation
280.65
Reversal Risk Warning
145.49%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 114.32
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SPG NYSE · Simon Property Group Inc
219.04
Reversal Risk Warning
86.16%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 117.66
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SPKL NASDAQ · Spark I Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
13.16
Reversal Risk Warning
21.07%
Entry 9 May 2025 10.87
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SRCE NASDAQ · 1st Source Corporation
78.52
Reversal Risk Warning
79.09%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 43.84
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
8.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
12 Jun 2026
Exit
STBA NASDAQ · S&T Bancorp Inc
47.85
Reversal Risk Warning
77.90%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 26.90
12 Jun 2026
Exit
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
77.20
Reversal Risk Warning
168.45%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 28.76
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SUNS NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
8.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SUPX NASDAQ · SuperX AI Technology Limited
8.23
20% entry drawdown
-21.92%
Entry 15 May 2026 10.54
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TBBB NYSE · BBB Foods Inc.
42.12
Reversal Risk Warning
50.97%
Entry 9 May 2025 27.90
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TFSL NASDAQ · TFS Financial Corporation
16.92
Reversal Risk Warning
54.52%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 10.95
12 Jun 2026
Entry
TGE NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
1.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
12 Jun 2026
Exit
THFF NASDAQ · First Financial Corporation Indiana
74.45
Reversal Risk Warning
129.41%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 32.45
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TIGO NASDAQ · Millicom International Cellular SA
93.03
Reversal Risk Warning
216.86%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 29.36
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TKR NYSE · Timken Company
137.06
Reversal Risk Warning
81.53%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 75.50
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TNGX NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
30.94
Reversal Risk Warning
499.61%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 5.16
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
5.31
Reversal Risk Warning
293.33%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 1.35
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TOUR NASDAQ · Tuniu Corp
4.56
20% entry drawdown
-29.55%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 6.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TROW NASDAQ · T. Rowe Price Group Inc
108.34
Reversal Risk Warning
22.31%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 88.58
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TSBK NASDAQ · Timberland Bancorp Inc
42.67
Reversal Risk Warning
48.76%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 28.68
12 Jun 2026
Entry
TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
10.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
12 Jun 2026
Exit
UBS NYSE · UBS Group AG
48.97
Reversal Risk Warning
131.39%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 21.16
12 Jun 2026
Exit
UNIT NASDAQ · Uniti Group Inc
12.75
Reversal Risk Warning
86.30%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 6.84