Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
3.97
29.32%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
26 Sep 20259.05
10.86
20.00%
Buy
1.93
-
-
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
17.67
11.55%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
150.61
32.76%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
7.45
84.86%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
13.34
136.11%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
3 Jul 20260.91
0.89
-1.97%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
2.95
1.72%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.54
45.14%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
11.43
34.95%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.76
-10.00%
Buy
0.35
-
-
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
16 Aug 20241.48
1.34
-9.46%
Buy
0.28
-
-
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
17 Jul 20264.05
4.05
New Entry week
Buy
0.26
-
-
LB NYSE · LandBridge Company LLC
31 Oct 202558.88
77.67
31.91%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
13 Jun 20259.92
12.00
20.97%
Buy
0.12
-
-
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
30 Jan 202610.25
10.44
1.85%
Buy
2.02
-
-
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
27 Mar 20264.90
8.52
73.91%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
13 Feb 20266.90
7.86
13.91%
Buy
1.51
-
-
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
16 May 20259.32
11.03
18.36%
Buy
0.34
-
-
LEGN NASDAQ · Legend Biotech Corp
17 Apr 202621.17
22.26
5.15%
Buy
0.43
-
-
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202692.97
83.89
-9.77%
Buy
0.37
-
-
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202691.35
82.17
-10.05%
Buy
0.40
-
-
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
19 Jun 20265.54
4.68
-15.52%
Buy
0.14
-
-
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
24 Apr 20264.64
4.15
-10.56%
Buy
1.08
-
-
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
5 Jun 202650.35
58.48
16.15%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LGVN NASDAQ · Longeveron LLC
13 Feb 20260.54
0.62
16.09%
Buy
0.33
-
-
LIF NASDAQ · Life360, Inc. Common Stock
29 May 202642.49
53.79
26.59%
Buy
0.11
-
-
LIMN NASDAQ · Liminatus Pharma, Inc. Class A Common Stock
3 Jul 20260.14
0.12
-13.68%
Buy
1.16
-
-
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 202639.47
44.59
12.96%
Buy
0.19
-
-
LINK NASDAQ · Interlink Electronics Inc
8 May 20263.56
4.65
30.62%
Buy
0.32
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3001-3030 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ORC NYSE · Orchid Island Capital Inc.
7.71
Reversal Risk Warning
45.60%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 5.30
16 Jan 2026
Exit
PEN NYSE · Penumbra Inc
350.78
Reversal Risk Warning
66.94%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 210.12
16 Jan 2026
Exit
PESI NASDAQ · Perma-Fix Environmental Svcs Inc
14.82
Reversal Risk Warning
57.83%
Entry 9 May 2025 9.39
16 Jan 2026
Exit
PFSI NYSE · PennyMac Finl Svcs Inc
158.39
Reversal Risk Warning
122.17%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 71.29
16 Jan 2026
Exit
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.11
16 Jan 2026
Entry
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
18.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
16 Jan 2026
Entry
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
8.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
16 Jan 2026
Entry
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
3.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
16 Jan 2026
Exit
RTX NYSE · RTX Corporation
200.43
Reversal Risk Warning
150.24%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 80.09
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
32.48
Reversal Risk Warning
13.33%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 28.66
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SATL NASDAQ · Satellogic V Inc
3.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SBCF NASDAQ · Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida
33.41
Reversal Risk Warning
56.42%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 21.36
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
7.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SFD NASDAQ · Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock
22.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SHOO NASDAQ · Steven Madden Ltd
45.11
Reversal Risk Warning
86.29%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 24.22
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 4.33
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-26.68%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 4.15
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
5.04
20% entry drawdown
-22.46%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 6.50
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
7.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
16 Jan 2026
Exit
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
20.97
20% entry drawdown
-23.07%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 27.26
16 Jan 2026
Entry
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
2.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
16 Jan 2026
Entry
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
13.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
16 Jan 2026
Exit
TTI NYSE · Tetra Technologies Inc
11.57
Reversal Risk Warning
158.84%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 4.47
16 Jan 2026
Entry
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
2.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
16 Jan 2026
Exit
TWO NYSE · Two Harbors Investments Corp
13.68
Reversal Risk Warning
40.73%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 9.72
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
43.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
3.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UMC NYSE · United Microelectronics
9.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
16 Jan 2026
Entry
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
58.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
16 Jan 2026
Entry
WFG NYSE · West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
69.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35