Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
112.41
5.34%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
29.43
9.77%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
53.49
18.26%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
81.09
10.39%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KNTK NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
16 Jan 202637.27
48.32
29.66%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
23 May 202529.88
47.56
59.17%
Buy
0.41
-
-
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
13 Feb 20261.68
2.10
25.00%
Buy
1.03
-
-
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
1 May 20264.36
3.95
-9.40%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KOYN NASDAQ · CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III, Ltd
10 Apr 202610.07
10.15
0.79%
Buy
1.14
-
-
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
20 Mar 20267.25
7.20
-0.69%
Buy
0.24
-
-
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.47
2.51
1.62%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20255.92
10.34
74.66%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
22 May 20266.39
7.36
15.24%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
17 Apr 202616.37
15.82
-3.36%
Buy
0.84
-
-
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
9 Jan 20265.24
5.89
12.37%
Buy
0.26
-
-
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
19 Jun 202612.99
14.56
12.09%
Buy
0.51
-
-
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.54
0.29%
Buy
1.09
-
-
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
4.09
33.22%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
26 Sep 20259.05
11.45
26.52%
Buy
1.93
-
-
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
16.91
6.76%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
4 Jul 20256.93
10.92
57.69%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
148.17
30.61%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
8.49
110.55%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
13.56
140.00%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
3 Jul 20260.91
0.92
0.60%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
3.32
14.48%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.80
60.00%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.11
10.11
New Entry week
Buy
1.51
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
11.03
30.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.56
-12.01%
Buy
0.35
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2071-2100 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
65.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.95%
Entry 30 May 2025 85.16
20 Mar 2026
Exit
IMNN NASDAQ · Imunon Inc
2.87
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.69
20 Mar 2026
Entry
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
7.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
20 Mar 2026
Exit
LBRT NYSE · Liberty Energy Inc.
31.36
Reversal Risk Warning
106.90%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 15.16
20 Mar 2026
Exit
LNG NYSE · Cheniere Energy Inc
280.24
Reversal Risk Warning
62.93%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 172.00
20 Mar 2026
Entry
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
9.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
20 Mar 2026
Exit
LYEL NASDAQ · Lyell Immunopharma Inc
19.12
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 24.00
20 Mar 2026
Entry
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
26.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Mar 2026
Exit
MGY NYSE · Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
30.58
Reversal Risk Warning
53.13%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 19.97
20 Mar 2026
Exit
MMLP NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
2.27
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 2.87
20 Mar 2026
Exit
MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
1.13
20% entry drawdown
-32.74%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 1.68
20 Mar 2026
Exit
MOBX NASDAQ · Mobix Labs Inc
4.82
20% entry drawdown
-23.56%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 6.30
20 Mar 2026
Exit
NAMM NASDAQ · Namib Minerals Ordinary Shares
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-36.77%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 3.10
20 Mar 2026
Exit
NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.51
20% entry drawdown
-25.96%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 3.39
20 Mar 2026
Exit
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
70.71
20% entry drawdown
-20.68%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 89.14
20 Mar 2026
Exit
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3.29
20% entry drawdown
-21.03%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 4.17
20 Mar 2026
Exit
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
1.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.94%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.88
20 Mar 2026
Exit
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
9.68
20% entry drawdown
-22.50%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 12.49
20 Mar 2026
Exit
PDS NYSE · Precision Drilling Corporation
98.64
Reversal Risk Warning
92.88%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 51.14
20 Mar 2026
Entry
PGAC NASDAQ · Pantages Capital Acquisition Corporation
10.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
20 Mar 2026
Entry
PRAA NASDAQ · PRA Group Inc
17.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
20 Mar 2026
Exit
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.47%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 5.03
20 Mar 2026
Exit
RCMT NASDAQ · RCM Technologies Inc
18.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 16 May 2025 22.84
20 Mar 2026
Exit
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
3.16
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 4.15
20 Mar 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
13.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
20 Mar 2026
Entry
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
14.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
20 Mar 2026
Entry
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
6.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
20 Mar 2026
Entry
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
20 Mar 2026
Exit
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
20.53
20% entry drawdown
-43.41%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 36.28
20 Mar 2026
Exit
SNDX NASDAQ · Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc
24.23
Reversal Risk Warning
94.15%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 12.48