Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 631-660 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
10 Jul 20261.06
1.03
-2.83%
Buy
0.16
-
-
MNDY NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
8 May 202672.07
78.69
9.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.03
6.90%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.35
6.32%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.96
11.23%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.57
1.29%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
8.94
-6.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
225.37
49.25%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
3.90
3.45%
Buy
0.95
-
-
MORN NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
172.48
-3.99%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.75
77.74%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
17.49
4.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
13.52
-5.62%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.31
5.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.93
-18.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
61.82
26.91%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
29.42
1.51%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026178.54
182.18
2.04%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
17.65
51.25%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
7.24
134.30%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.64
93.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
94.85
-5.87%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MTAL NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.20
-16.12%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
39.15
31.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.54
21.34%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
147.86
12.76%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
19.38
37.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
13.03
26.14%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
36.83
55.14%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
0.78
-1.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3121-3150 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.50
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CGTL NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
18.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.08
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
95.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
25.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Entry
DJT NASDAQ · Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
13.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Exit
DX NYSE · Dynex Capital Inc
13.22
Reversal Risk Warning
49.23%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.86
2 Jan 2026
Exit
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.57
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ESHA NASDAQ · ESH Acquisition Corp. Class A Common Stock
15.25
Reversal Risk Warning
35.68%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 11.24
2 Jan 2026
Exit
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
7.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.61%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.84
2 Jan 2026
Entry
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
20.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
2 Jan 2026
Exit
IRS NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones
16.62
Reversal Risk Warning
142.66%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 6.85
2 Jan 2026
Exit
MSB NYSE · Mesabi Trust
38.93
Reversal Risk Warning
147.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 15.71
2 Jan 2026
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
2 Jan 2026
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.35
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OMSE NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.
4.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ORIO NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.28
2 Jan 2026
Exit
OXLCO NASDAQ · Oxford Lane Capital Corp Corp Pref 9
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
23.53%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 18.48
2 Jan 2026
Entry
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
37.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSIG NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares
4.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
2 Jan 2026
Exit
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.79
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
480.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SON NYSE · Sonoco Products Company
43.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
2 Jan 2026
Exit
TMO NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
591.32
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 413.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UXIN NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
3.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
2 Jan 2026
Exit
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.12%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 3.04