Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
16 Jan 20263.03
3.42
12.87%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
26 Jun 20262.47
2.85
15.38%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.77
30.33%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
31 Oct 20251.33
1.74
30.83%
Buy
2.03
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.65
13.54%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
83.89
98.04%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
3.78
26.42%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
27 Mar 20269.20
11.11
20.76%
Buy
0.34
-
-
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
29 Aug 20258.78
14.61
66.40%
Buy
0.47
-
-
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
7 Nov 20256.40
10.27
60.47%
Buy
1.27
-
-
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
22 Aug 20252.44
4.27
75.36%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
20 Feb 20265.48
7.68
40.15%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
2 May 202516.97
37.31
119.86%
Buy
0.20
-
-
NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR
1 Aug 20255.01
4.88
-2.59%
Buy
1.63
-
-
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
26 Jun 20261.32
1.15
-12.88%
Buy
1.57
-
-
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
3 Jul 202644.09
43.76
-0.75%
Buy
0.29
-
-
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
22 May 20263.03
2.60
-14.19%
Buy
1.14
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
8.36
20.29%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.30
1.03%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.18
113.42%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.55
-1.90%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.26
-11.34%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
21.19
-2.89%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
2.98
-17.22%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.51
16.15%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
148.71
20.10%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
103.24
1.09%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
17 Jul 20269.26
9.26
New Entry week
Buy
0.13
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
7.73
47.21%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
4.27
92.34%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2911-2940 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PHAR NASDAQ · Pharming Group NV
19.70
Reversal Risk Warning
132.03%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 8.49
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QRHC NASDAQ · Quest Resource Holding Corp
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
10.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RCAT NASDAQ · Red Cat Holdings Inc
16.06
Reversal Risk Warning
484.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 2.75
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RGLD NASDAQ · Royal Gold Inc
292.56
Reversal Risk Warning
144.80%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 119.51
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
9.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
7.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
18.90
Reversal Risk Warning
216.78%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
2.94
Reversal Risk Warning
180.00%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 1.05
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SPHL NASDAQ · Springview Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
6.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SRL NYSE · Scully Royalty Ltd
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
54.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 5.80
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
3.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TLK NYSE · Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT ADR Rep 100 B
20.75
Reversal Risk Warning
50.99%
Entry 2 May 2025 13.74
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TMC NASDAQ · TMC the metals company Inc
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning
218.92%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 2.96
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
42.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
10.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.95
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
3.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
23 Jan 2026
Exit
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
15.83
Reversal Risk Warning
154.09%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 6.23
23 Jan 2026
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
23 Jan 2026
Entry
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
117.54%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.68
16 Jan 2026
Exit
AKO-B NYSE · Embotelladora Andina S.A
29.26
Reversal Risk Warning
143.81%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.00
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.89
20% entry drawdown
-23.75%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 3.79
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ARR NYSE · ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
17.85
Reversal Risk Warning
38.21%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 12.91