Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 751-780 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PENN NASDAQ · Penn National Gaming Inc
27 Feb 202615.64
20.57
31.52%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
3 Apr 20261.69
1.92
13.61%
Buy
0.09
-
-
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1 Aug 20251.04
1.13
8.65%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
10 Jul 20262.96
2.47
-16.55%
Buy
0.21
-
-
PFE NYSE · Pfizer Inc
27 Jun 202522.60
25.05
10.83%
Buy
0.11
-
-
PGAC NASDAQ · Pantages Capital Acquisition Corporation
20 Mar 202610.47
10.69
2.10%
Buy
1.35
-
-
PGNY NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
27 Dec 202416.90
31.93
88.93%
Buy
0.01
-
-
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
3 Jul 202617.79
17.15
-3.60%
Buy
1.04
-
-
PHR NYSE · Phreesia Inc
29 May 20269.86
10.71
8.62%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
6 Jun 202539.30
73.20
86.24%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
15 May 202611.29
10.82
-4.16%
Buy
0.89
-
-
PINS NYSE · Pinterest Inc
1 May 202620.22
23.20
14.74%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
7 Mar 202552.05
50.80
-2.41%
Buy
0.46
-
-
PLUS NASDAQ · ePlus inc
30 May 202570.46
89.27
26.69%
Buy
0.48
-
-
PMTS NASDAQ · CPI Card Group Inc
7 Nov 202513.80
18.81
36.30%
Buy
0.20
-
-
POCI NASDAQ · Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. Common stock
16 May 20254.52
4.34
-3.98%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
17 Jul 2026164.06
164.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.42
-
-
POLE NASDAQ · Andretti Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary Shares
13 Jun 202510.38
10.79
3.95%
Buy
2.68
-
-
POOL NASDAQ · Pool Corporation
19 Jun 2026198.99
201.17
1.10%
Buy
0.00
-
-
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
10 Jan 20251.36
2.26
66.18%
Buy
0.37
-
-
PPG NYSE · PPG Industries Inc
23 May 2025107.24
117.36
9.44%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
15 May 20263.98
3.24
-18.59%
Buy
0.14
-
-
PRAA NASDAQ · PRA Group Inc
20 Mar 202617.46
18.12
3.78%
Buy
0.29
-
-
PRGO NYSE · Perrigo Company PLC
8 May 202611.41
10.72
-6.05%
Buy
0.03
-
-
PRGS NASDAQ · Progress Software Corporation
19 Jun 202629.68
40.55
36.62%
Buy
0.17
-
-
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
17 Apr 202636.07
45.11
25.06%
Buy
0.16
-
-
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
21 Nov 20251.67
4.20
151.50%
Buy
1.67
-
-
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
16 Jan 202618.61
24.82
33.36%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
20 Jun 20252.07
3.13
51.21%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
22 Aug 20254.74
6.85
44.51%
Buy
0.18
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2911-2940 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PHAR NASDAQ · Pharming Group NV
19.70
Reversal Risk Warning
132.03%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 8.49
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QRHC NASDAQ · Quest Resource Holding Corp
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
10.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RCAT NASDAQ · Red Cat Holdings Inc
16.06
Reversal Risk Warning
484.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 2.75
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RGLD NASDAQ · Royal Gold Inc
292.56
Reversal Risk Warning
144.80%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 119.51
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
9.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
7.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
18.90
Reversal Risk Warning
216.78%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
2.94
Reversal Risk Warning
180.00%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 1.05
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SPHL NASDAQ · Springview Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
6.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SRL NYSE · Scully Royalty Ltd
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
54.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 5.80
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
3.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TLK NYSE · Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT ADR Rep 100 B
20.75
Reversal Risk Warning
50.99%
Entry 2 May 2025 13.74
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TMC NASDAQ · TMC the metals company Inc
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning
218.92%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 2.96
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
42.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
10.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.95
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
3.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
23 Jan 2026
Exit
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
15.83
Reversal Risk Warning
154.09%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 6.23
23 Jan 2026
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
23 Jan 2026
Entry
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
117.54%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.68
16 Jan 2026
Exit
AKO-B NYSE · Embotelladora Andina S.A
29.26
Reversal Risk Warning
143.81%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.00
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.89
20% entry drawdown
-23.75%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 3.79
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ARR NYSE · ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
17.85
Reversal Risk Warning
38.21%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 12.91