Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 781-810 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
20 Sep 20240.73
0.62
-15.51%
Buy
0.43
-
-
PMTS NASDAQ · CPI Card Group Inc
7 Nov 202513.80
19.54
41.59%
Buy
0.20
-
-
POCI NASDAQ · Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. Common stock
16 May 20254.52
4.98
10.18%
Buy
0.18
-
-
POLE NASDAQ · Andretti Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary Shares
13 Jun 202510.38
10.77
3.76%
Buy
2.68
-
-
POOL NASDAQ · Pool Corporation
19 Jun 2026198.99
210.44
5.75%
Buy
0.00
-
-
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
2 Jan 202637.04
72.07
94.58%
Buy
0.13
-
-
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
10 Jan 20251.36
2.48
82.35%
Buy
0.37
-
-
PPG NYSE · PPG Industries Inc
23 May 2025107.24
116.76
8.88%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
15 May 20263.98
3.65
-8.29%
Buy
0.14
-
-
PRAA NASDAQ · PRA Group Inc
20 Mar 202617.46
18.49
5.90%
Buy
0.29
-
-
PRGO NYSE · Perrigo Company PLC
8 May 202611.41
10.22
-10.43%
Buy
0.03
-
-
PRGS NASDAQ · Progress Software Corporation
19 Jun 202629.68
37.86
27.56%
Buy
0.17
-
-
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
17 Apr 202636.07
46.87
29.94%
Buy
0.16
-
-
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
21 Nov 20251.67
4.81
187.72%
Buy
1.67
-
-
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
16 Jan 202618.61
23.99
28.90%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
20 Jun 20252.07
3.78
82.61%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
22 Aug 20254.74
7.04
48.52%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PRTA NASDAQ · Prothena Corporation plc
1 Aug 20256.81
9.24
35.68%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PRZO NASDAQ · ParaZero Technologies Ltd. Ordinary Shares
23 Aug 20240.56
0.53
-6.15%
Buy
0.07
-
-
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2 Jan 20262.41
2.26
-6.07%
Buy
0.62
-
-
PSFE NYSE · Paysafe Ltd
6 Mar 20267.55
8.07
6.89%
Buy
0.12
-
-
PSNL NASDAQ · Personalis Inc
19 Jul 20243.85
14.07
265.45%
Buy
0.90
-
-
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
24 Oct 20256.41
9.39
46.45%
Buy
0.68
-
-
PTGX NASDAQ · Protagonist Therapeutics Inc
14 Jun 202433.39
131.42
293.59%
Buy
0.11
-
-
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
24 Apr 20265.18
5.86
13.13%
Buy
0.05
-
-
PULM NASDAQ · Pulmatrix Inc
26 Jun 20261.64
1.72
4.88%
Buy
0.66
-
-
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
4 Jul 202572.31
79.37
9.77%
Buy
0.22
-
-
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
26 Jul 20241.30
1.67
28.64%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PVLA NASDAQ · Palvella Therapeutics, Inc
22 Aug 202553.42
144.76
170.98%
Buy
1.56
-
-
PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
15 May 20266.83
6.10
-10.69%
Buy
0.72
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2761-2790 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jan 2026
Entry
ORKT NASDAQ · Orangekloud Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
1.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
30 Jan 2026
Entry
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
2.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
30 Jan 2026
Entry
PMN NASDAQ · ProMIS Neurosciences Inc.
14.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
30 Jan 2026
Entry
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
33.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.26
30 Jan 2026
Entry
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
5.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
30 Jan 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
2.80
20% entry drawdown
-35.03%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 4.31
30 Jan 2026
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
18.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
30 Jan 2026
Exit
SPHL NASDAQ · Springview Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
4.48
20% entry drawdown
-26.32%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 6.08
30 Jan 2026
Entry
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
2.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
30 Jan 2026
Exit
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
54.64
20% entry drawdown
-21.60%
Entry 16 May 2025 69.70
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TCBI NASDAQ · Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
100.96
Reversal Risk Warning
59.45%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 63.32
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TDS NYSE · Telephone and Data Systems Inc
45.04
Reversal Risk Warning
290.73%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 11.53
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TEVA NYSE · Teva Pharma Industries Ltd ADR
34.08
Reversal Risk Warning
225.19%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 10.48
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.47
20% entry drawdown
-20.54%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 1.85
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TSN NYSE · Tyson Foods Inc
64.27
Reversal Risk Warning
34.87%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 47.66
30 Jan 2026
Entry
UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
6.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
30 Jan 2026
Entry
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
6.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
30 Jan 2026
Entry
UONE NASDAQ · Urban One
13.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
30 Jan 2026
Exit
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.07
30 Jan 2026
Exit
VSEC NASDAQ · VSE Corporation
218.47
Reversal Risk Warning
191.79%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 74.87
30 Jan 2026
Entry
VVV NYSE · Valvoline Inc
32.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
30 Jan 2026
Entry
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
4.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
30 Jan 2026
Entry
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
7.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
23 Jan 2026
Exit
AAUC NYSE · Allied Gold Corporation
30.40
Reversal Risk Warning
21.02%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 25.12
23 Jan 2026
Entry
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
5.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
23 Jan 2026
Entry
ADAG NASDAQ · Adagene Inc
2.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
23 Jan 2026
Exit
AKO-A NYSE · Embotelladora Andina S.A
23.76
Reversal Risk Warning
137.79%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 9.99
23 Jan 2026
Exit
ALHC NASDAQ · Alignment Healthcare LLC
23.81
Reversal Risk Warning
202.16%
Entry 31 May 2024 7.88
23 Jan 2026
Entry
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
6.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
23 Jan 2026
Exit
ANGH NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
2.80
20% entry drawdown
-30.00%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 4.00