Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
656.01
11.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
34.41
-3.96%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
22.53
31.37%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
39.00
11.80%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
25.61
20.29%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.08
5.98%
Buy
2.21
-
-
RGEN NASDAQ · Repligen Corporation
15 Aug 2025124.35
131.96
6.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
13 Feb 202637.30
38.23
2.49%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RH NYSE · RH
12 Jun 2026153.04
174.51
14.03%
Buy
0.16
-
-
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29 May 202629.44
35.29
19.87%
Buy
0.72
-
-
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
8 Aug 20253.10
5.35
72.58%
Buy
0.71
-
-
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
7 Jun 202411.52
15.84
37.50%
Buy
0.12
-
-
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
15 Aug 20254.83
16.31
237.54%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
1 May 202610.78
9.37
-13.08%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
4 Jul 20251.59
2.30
45.06%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
17 Apr 20267.04
7.88
11.93%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
19 Jun 202610.08
10.12
0.40%
Buy
1.47
-
-
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
24 Apr 20265.20
6.15
18.27%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ROP NASDAQ · Roper Technologies Inc
24 Apr 2026353.40
367.34
3.94%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RPAY NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
6 Mar 20262.94
3.80
29.25%
Buy
0.11
-
-
RPC NYSE · Ridgepost Capital, Inc
22 May 20268.24
8.42
2.18%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
10 Jul 202611.17
9.49
-15.04%
Buy
1.18
-
-
RR NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
20 Dec 20241.27
1.55
22.05%
Buy
0.68
-
-
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
24 Apr 20263.98
7.22
81.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
1 May 20264.75
5.02
5.68%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
12 Jun 20262.33
2.20
-5.58%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RTO NYSE · Rentokil Initial PLC
2 May 202523.30
28.37
21.75%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
24 Oct 202598.75
110.47
11.86%
Buy
0.22
-
-
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
20 Mar 202613.23
25.63
93.73%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RYAN NYSE · Ryan Specialty Group Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202635.64
41.75
17.14%
Buy
0.31
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4651-4680 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
1.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
37.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
11 Jul 2025
Entry
TH NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
8.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
11 Jul 2025
Entry
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
8.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
4.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VREX NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
8.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
11 Jul 2025
Entry
WST NYSE · West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
226.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
11 Jul 2025
Entry
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
10.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AA NYSE · Alcoa Corp
30.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ALOT NASDAQ · AstroNova Inc
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
4 Jul 2025
Entry
APLE NYSE · Apple Hospitality REIT Inc
11.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
52.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
4.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
13.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BZAI NASDAQ · Blaize Holdings, Inc.
2.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CALC NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
1.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
0.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
4 Jul 2025
Exit
CBNK NASDAQ · Capital Bancorp
34.98
Reversal Risk Warning
73.49%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 20.16
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CELZ NASDAQ · Creative Medical Technology Holdings Inc
2.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
6.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
12.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
8.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CMTG NYSE · Claros Mortgage Trust Inc
3.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
4 Jul 2025
Exit
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
13.56
Reversal Risk Warning
21.25%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 11.18
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CRML NASDAQ · Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares
3.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DD NYSE · Dupont De Nemours Inc
90.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DGXX NASDAQ · Digi Power X Inc.
3.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34